World Cup

France - Senegal

06/16/2026, 07:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
France
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Senegal
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
FRASEN

France

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.60
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.40
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
-0.17
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第18位, 相差16位)
+0.08
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.63倍)
+0.04

Senegal

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.46
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.47倍)
+1.10
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.44
状态上升 (3.8 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
+0.42
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.19
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第2位, 相差16位)
-0.16
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.38
+0.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

33%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

67%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 40% for France, making them slight favorites (1.16 predicted goals vs. 0.92)
  • Senegal demonstrates impressive defensive stability with an average of 0.30 goals conceded per game and 8 clean sheets this season
  • France's offense is very potent, averaging 2.67 goals per game this season, with Michael Olise and Ousmane Dembélé scoring 4 goals each in their last 5 appearances
风险因素
  • There is no historical head-to-head data available for these two teams in the provided dataset
  • The match will be played on artificial turf, which may influence gameplay
概述

France (1st place, 0 points) faces Senegal (1st place, 0 points) at MetLife Stadium

World Cup match on June 16, 2026, 8:00 PM

Both teams are kicking off the group stage and aiming for a strong start

近期状态

France's form across all competitions: WWWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The French have 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches

Their last game ended in a win

Senegal's form across all competitions: WWWLD

The Senegalese recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches

Senegal's most recent match was a draw

统计数据

France averages 2.67 goals scored per game and concedes 0.67 goals per game this season

In home games, they have an impressive 3.00 goals scored per game and only 0.33 goals conceded

Senegal has a season average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.30 goals conceded

Away from home, these figures are 2.25 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per game

France has kept 3 clean sheets, while Senegal has managed 8 clean sheets this season

MetLife Stadium saw an average of 2.0 goals in the only match played there

Both teams scored in 1 of 1 games at the stadium

0 of 1 games at the stadium ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There are no historical head-to-head matches between France and Senegal listed in the dataset

关键球员

For France, Michael Olise is an attacking threat with 4 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, averaging a 7.82 rating

Ousmane Dembélé showed 4 goals and 1 assist in 4 games with a 7.45 rating

Désiré Doué contributed 0 goals and 2 assists in 4 games with a 7.29 rating

For Senegal, Sadio Mané stands out with 3 goals and 0 assists in 5 games, holding a 7.04 rating

Nicolas Jackson scored 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games with a 6.79 rating

Pape Gueye achieved 1 goal and 0 assists in 4 games with a 6.82 rating

门将

France's goalkeeper Mike Maignan achieved an average rating of 6.98 in 5 of the last 5 matches and has 3 clean sheets this season

Edouard Mendy of Senegal played 4 of the last 5 matches with a 6.84 rating and has 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at MetLife Stadium

France has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses (2:1 goals) on artificial turf

Senegal's record on artificial turf is 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss (3:3 goals)

MetLife Stadium has seen an average of 2.0 goals in 1 game, with both teams scoring and no Over 2.5 in that match

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