World Cup

Saudi Arabia - Uruguay

06/15/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Saudi Arabia
0.9
Total xG
2.1
Uruguay
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

13%

1:0

10%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
SAURU

Saudi Arabia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.47倍)
-0.36
排名劣势 (第59位 vs 第15位, 相差44位)
-0.16
状态下滑 (0.7 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.06
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.01
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.00

Uruguay

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.38
防守不足 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.29
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
排名优势 (第15位 vs 第59位, 相差44位)
+0.08
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.36
+0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

33%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

67%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: Uruguay is favored with a 39% win probability, while Saudi Arabia stands at 27%
  • Saudi Arabia's Form Decline: Saudi Arabia shows a negative form trend in goals scored and conceded; their average goals conceded recently rose to 2.67 per game compared to a season average of 0.72
  • Uruguay's Defensive Issues: Despite being favored, Uruguay conceded an average of 1.6 goals per away game and recently an average of 2.33 goals, indicating a potential vulnerability
风险因素
  • Uruguay will be without G. De Arrascaeta Benedetti (Broken Collarbone) and R. Araújo da Silva (Muscle Injury)
  • Both teams recently recorded few shots on target (Saudi Arabia Ø 2.8, Uruguay Ø 2.0), indicating potentially few scoring opportunities
概述

Saudi Arabia hosts Uruguay at Hard Rock Stadium. This is a World Cup group stage match on June 15, 2026, 11:00 PM. Both teams begin the tournament with 0 points.

近期状态

Saudi Arabia's recent form is LLLWD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) from their last five matches. Their last game was a 0-0 draw against Senegal. Prior to that, they secured a 3-0 win against Puerto Rico and suffered three defeats. Uruguay comes into this match with a form of WDLDD (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss). Uruguay recorded two consecutive draws in their last outings, 0-0 against Algeria and 1-1 against England.

统计数据

Saudi Arabia has scored an average of 1.22 goals per game this season and conceded 0.72 goals per game. The team achieved 10 clean sheets. Uruguay also scored an average of 1.22 goals per game but conceded fewer, with 0.67 goals per game. Uruguay also registered 10 clean sheets. In home games, Saudi Arabia scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded 1.0 goals. Uruguay scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 1.6 goals in away matches.

历史交锋

There has been only one previous head-to-head encounter between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay. Uruguay won this match 1-0 on June 20, 2018. Uruguay was the dominant team in this sole historical fixture.

关键球员

For Saudi Arabia, key players include Salem Al-Dawsari (Attacker) with 2 goals and an average rating of 7.22 in the last 5 games, Musab Al-Juwayr (Midfielder) with 1 goal and a rating of 7.24, and Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat (Defender) with 1 goal and a rating of 6.93. For Uruguay, Maxi Araújo (Defender) stands out with 1 goal and 1 assist (7.00 rating), Federico Valverde (Midfielder) with 1 assist (7.10 rating), and Darwin Núñez (Attacker) with 1 assist (6.85 rating).

门将

Mohammed Al-Owais is the goalkeeper for Saudi Arabia. The team has kept 10 clean sheets this season. Fernando Muslera is the goalkeeper for Uruguay, who also managed 10 clean sheets.

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at Hard Rock Stadium. Saudi Arabia has scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded 1.0 goals in home games. Uruguay has scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 1.6 goals in away matches.

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