World Cup

Argentina - Algeria

06/17/2026, 01:00 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
Argentina
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Algeria
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
ARGALG

Argentina

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.29倍)
-1.33
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.95
防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.93
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.6球)
+0.64
状态上升 (3.6 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.64
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第38位, 相差35位)
+0.09

Algeria

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.03倍)
-1.11
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.73
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.56
状态上升 (3.3 vs 2.7 赛季平均)
+0.20
排名劣势 (第38位 vs 第3位, 相差35位)
-0.17
最近5场中5场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.04

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

32%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

68%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis: The home win probability for Argentina is 40%, with 1.23 expected goals compared to 0.98 for Algeria
  • Current top form: Argentina won all of their last 5 games, scoring an average of 3.6 goals
  • Player impact: Lionel Messi proved to be a decisive player in the last 4 games with 5 goals and 4 assists
风险因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high draw probability of 32%
  • Algeria showed defensive stability in recent form, conceding an average of 0 goals per game
  • Algeria's offense is highly effective in recent form, averaging 3.3 goals per game
概述

Argentina hosts Algeria at Arrowhead Stadium for a World Cup group stage match on June 17, 2026, 3:00 AM. Argentina started the tournament with a 3-0 win and 3 points, while Algeria began with a 0-3 loss and 0 points.

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Argentina has shown perfect form in their last five matches with five wins (WWWWW). They recently defeated Iceland 3-0. Algeria is also in excellent shape, recording four wins and one draw in their last five games (WWDWW). Their last match was a 4-0 victory against Bolivia. Argentina is on a five-game winning streak.

统计数据

Argentina has scored an average of 1.72 goals per game this season and conceded 0.56 goals. At home, they average 1.67 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded. They kept 11 clean sheets, 6 of which were at home. Algeria showed strong offense with an average of 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game. Away, they averaged 2.5 goals scored and conceded only 0.5 goals. Algeria kept 3 clean sheets, all of them away. Argentina's matches saw over 2.5 goals 7 times and both teams scoring 5 times. Algeria's matches had over 2.5 goals 8 times and both teams scoring 7 times.

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head encounters between Argentina and Algeria.

关键球员

For Argentina, Lionel Messi is a key player with 5 goals and 4 assists in 4 games (8.57 Avg Rating). Lautaro Martínez contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches (6.89 Avg Rating). Rodrigo De Paul registered 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 games (7.57 Avg Rating). For Algeria, Anis Hadj Moussa stands out with 4 goals in 4 games (7.63 Avg Rating). Amine Gouiri scored 3 goals in 4 matches (6.97 Avg Rating). Ramy Bensebaini was involved in 1 goal and 2 assists in 4 games (7.33 Avg Rating).

门将

Emiliano Martínez is the goalkeeper for Argentina, whose team achieved 11 clean sheets this season. Luca Zidane is in goal for Algeria, whose team recorded 3 clean sheets.

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at Arrowhead Stadium. Argentina showed strength at home with an average of 1.67 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded. Algeria also proved offensively effective away, with 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded on average.

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