World Cup

Argentina - Algeria

06/17/2026, 01:00 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
Argentina
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Algeria
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

12%

0:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
ARGALG

Argentina

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.38倍)
-1.27
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.90
防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.88
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.6球)
+0.65
状态上升 (3.6 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.65
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第38位, 相差35位)
+0.08

Algeria

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.11倍)
-1.03
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.67
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.51
状态上升 (3.3 vs 2.6 赛季平均)
+0.21
排名劣势 (第38位 vs 第3位, 相差35位)
-0.17
最近5场中5场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.05

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.44
+0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

33%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

67%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 40% for Argentina.
  • Argentina is in outstanding form with five consecutive wins (WWWWW).
  • According to Advanced Stats, both teams show a positive offensive trend, with currently higher goal averages than their season average.
风险因素
  • The pipeline analysis predicts a high draw probability of 33%.
  • Algeria shows a strong away defense, conceding only 0.5 goals per away game.
  • Algeria's offense is potent with an average of 2.4 season goals per game.
概述

Argentina host Algeria at Arrowhead Stadium for their opening World Cup group stage match. The game is scheduled for June 17, 2026, 3:00 AM. Both teams are kicking off their tournament, and current table positions are not performance-based.

近期状态

Argentina displays flawless form, securing five wins (WWWWW) in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 3-0 victory. Algeria is also in strong form with four wins and one draw (WWDWW) from their last five outings. The home team's streak stands at five consecutive wins. The visitors have not lost in their last two games.

统计数据

Argentina averages 1.72 goals scored and 0.56 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 1.67 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded. The team achieved 11 clean sheets, with 6 of those at home. Algeria has scored an average of 2.4 goals and conceded 0.8 goals per game. Away from home, their scoring average is 2.5 goals and they concede 0.5 goals per match. Algeria kept 3 clean sheets, all of them away.

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between Argentina and Algeria.

关键球员

For Argentina, Lionel Messi stands out with 5 goals and 4 assists in 4 appearances. Lautaro Martínez contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches. Rodrigo De Paul recorded 1 goal and 2 assists in 5 games. On Algeria's side, Anis Hadj Moussa scored 4 goals in 4 games. Amine Gouiri netted 3 goals in 4 matches. Ramy Bensebaini was involved in 1 goal and 2 assists in 4 appearances.

门将

Emiliano Martínez is the goalkeeper for Argentina, whose team achieved 11 clean sheets this season. For Algeria, Luca Zidane is in goal, with his team recording 3 clean sheets.

影响因素

The match will be played at Arrowhead Stadium on a grass surface. There is no data available regarding weather influences or specific stadium history.

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