World Cup

Belgium - Egypt

06/15/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Belgium
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Egypt
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
BELEGY

Belgium

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.54
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.47
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均4球)
+0.31
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.22倍)
+0.11
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第35位, 相差27位)
+0.08
全员可用

Egypt

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
-0.73
防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.63
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.37
排名劣势 (第35位 vs 第8位, 相差27位)
-0.16
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.01

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.42
+0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

33%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

67%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Belgium with a 40% probability and 1.18 expected goals
  • Belgium's Offensive Power: Belgium averages 3.63 goals per game this season and 4.0 goals in recent matches
  • Tactical Approach: Belgium's possession-dominant play (58% possession) meets Egypt's counter-oriented tactics (39% possession)
风险因素
  • Injury Absence: Belgium's Z. Debast is out due to a Leg Injury
  • Unknown Surface: Egypt has no data for matches played on artificial turf, which could be an unknown factor
  • High Draw Probability: The mathematical model predicts a draw with a 33% probability, indicating a tight match
概述

Belgium faces Egypt at Lumen Field in a World Cup match on June 15, 2026, 7:00 PM. Both teams are kicking off their tournament campaigns and aiming for a strong start in their group. Belgium and Egypt hold 1st and 2nd place in the table, respectively, with 0 points each before this fixture.

近期状态

Belgium is in good form with a W-W-D-W-W record in their last five games, amounting to 4 wins and 1 draw. Their last match was a 5-0 victory against Tunisia. Egypt's recent form is W-W-D-W-L, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five outings. They recently suffered a 1-2 defeat to Brazil. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Belgium has shown strong attacking capabilities this season, averaging 3.63 goals scored per game and conceding 0.88 goals. At home, they average 3.4 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded. They kept 4 clean sheets. Egypt boasts a very strong defense, conceding only 0.2 goals per game on average, while scoring 2.0 goals per match. Away from home, they concede an average of 0.25 goals and score 2.0 goals. They achieved 8 clean sheets. Lumen Field sees an average of 3.4 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 matches.

历史交锋

There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Belgium and Egypt in the provided dataset.

关键球员

For Belgium, Youri Tielemans is in good form with 2 goals and 1 assist in 375 minutes over 5 games, Jérémy Doku contributed 2 assists in 340 minutes over 5 games, and Kevin De Bruyne scored 1 goal and 1 assist in 262 minutes over 4 games. For Egypt, Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf stands out with 4 goals in 319 minutes over 5 games. Emam Ashour provided 2 assists in 324 minutes over 5 games. Goalkeeper Oufa Shobeir achieved an average rating of 7.20 in 5 games.

门将

Belgium's goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois has kept 3 clean sheets in home games. Egypt's goalkeeper Oufa Shobeir has kept 4 clean sheets in away games.

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf. Belgium's record on artificial turf is 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses with a 6:3 goal difference. No data is available for Egypt's performance on artificial turf. Lumen Field typically sees an average of 3.4 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches.

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