World Cup

Iran - New Zealand

06/16/2026, 01:00 AM

2 : 2
预期进球
Iran
1.5
Total xG
2.3
New Zealand
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

14%

0:0

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
IRANZ

Iran

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-2.48
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.94倍)
+2.02
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.78
状态上升 (2.8 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第21位 vs 第83位, 相差62位)
+0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.00
全员可用

New Zealand

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.90
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.59
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.35
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.28
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.28
排名劣势 (第83位 vs 第21位, 相差62位)
-0.14
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.59
+0.59
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

30%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

70%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis sees Iran as favorites with 52%
  • Form Trend and Goal Threat: Iran shows a positive recent form trend with 2.8 goals per game recently, while New Zealand's goal production has dropped to 0.8 goals
  • Critical Data Situation: For both teams, only 0% of active goal production is available according to squad impact data
风险因素
  • Iran averaged 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
  • New Zealand averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Iran (3rd place, 0 points) host New Zealand (4th place, 0 points) at SoFi Stadium. World Cup match on June 16, 2026, 3:00 AM. Both teams kick off their group stage campaign aiming for a crucial opening victory

近期状态

Iran's current form across all competitions is WDLWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently

New Zealand's form is LLWLL

The team achieved 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses in their last five matches

统计数据

Iran scored an average of 2.19 goals per game this season and conceded 0.75 goals

The team kept 9 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 matches

New Zealand scored an average of 5.80 goals per game and conceded 0.20 goals

The team kept 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 1 match

Matches at SoFi Stadium have averaged 5.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 1 of 1 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 1 games

关键球员

Iran's offense is led by Mehdi Taremi, who contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in 4 of his last 5 games

Mohammad Mohebi scored 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 games

Arya Yousefi contributed 1 goal in 2 games

For New Zealand, Joe Bell is an important player, contributing 1 assist in 4 of his last 5 games

Tim Payne provided 1 assist in 4 games

Sarpreet Singh recorded 1 assist in 4 games

门将

Iran's goalkeeper Alireza Beiranvand was involved in 6 clean sheets in home games

New Zealand's goalkeeper Max Crocombe was involved in 2 clean sheets in away games

影响因素

The match takes place at SoFi Stadium on artificial turf

The venue history shows an average of 5.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in 1 of 1 matches

There are no specific data on the teams' performance on artificial turf

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