World Cup

Uzbekistan - Colombia

06/18/2026, 02:00 AM

1 : 3
预期进球
Uzbekistan
1.3
Total xG
2.7
Colombia
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
UZBCOL

Uzbekistan

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.60
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.25
排名劣势 (第54位 vs 第13位, 相差41位)
-0.24
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.07
全员可用

Colombia

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.83
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.23倍)
+0.41
排名优势 (第13位 vs 第54位, 相差41位)
+0.09
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.04

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.8球)
+1.26
+1.26
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

29%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model predicts a very balanced match with a 35% probability for a home win or an away win each
  • Colombia shows a strong offensive performance with an average of 5.8 shots on target in the last 5 games
  • Uzbekistan's goal threat is critically assessed according to the data: only 0% of the seasonal goal production is contributed by currently available players
风险因素
  • Uzbekistan averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Limited data available for head-to-head matches
概述

Uzbekistan host Colombia at Estadio Banorte

World Cup match on June 18, 2026, 3:00 AM

Both teams begin the World Cup group stage with 0 points

近期状态

Uzbekistan's form in the last 5 games: DWDLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

They recently suffered two consecutive losses

Colombia's form in the last 5 games: WLLWW

Colombia secured 3 wins and 2 losses

The team won their last two matches

统计数据

Uzbekistan scored an average of 1.69 goals per game this season and conceded 0.69 goals

In home games, Uzbekistan scores an average of 1.75 goals and concedes only 0.38 goals

Colombia scored an average of 1.56 goals per game this season and conceded 1.00 goal

In away games, Colombia scores an average of 1.50 goals and concedes 1.38 goals

At Estadio Banorte, an average of 2.6 goals were scored in 5 games

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games

历史交锋

No data is available for head-to-head matches between Uzbekistan and Colombia

关键球员

For Uzbekistan, Eldor Shomurodov (2 goals, 1 assist in the last 5 games), Abbosbek Fayzullaev (1 goal, 1 assist in the last 5 games) and Oston Urunov (2 goals in the last 5 games) are important players

For Colombia, Luis Suárez (4 goals, 2 assists in the last 5 games), James Rodríguez (4 assists in the last 5 games) and Jhon Arias (2 goals in the last 5 games) are key players

门将

For Uzbekistan, Utkir Yusupov is in goal; the team recorded 10 clean sheets this season

For Colombia, Camilo Vargas is in goal; the team recorded 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Uzbekistan's home record shows an average of 1.75 goals scored and only 0.38 goals conceded

Colombia scored an average of 1.50 goals away and conceded 1.38 goals

The grass surface of Estadio Banorte is relevant for the match

The stadium recorded an average of 2.6 goals in 5 games, and both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games

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