World Cup

Australia - Türkiye

06/14/2026, 04:00 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Australia
1.2
Total xG
3.0
Türkiye
1.9
最可能的比分

1:1

10%

1:2

10%

0:1

9%

0:2

8%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
AUSTÜR

Australia

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.09
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.02

Türkiye

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.44
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均2.5球)
-1.27
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.48倍)
+0.82
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.14

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4球)
+1.55
+1.55
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

23%

平局

22%

客胜

55%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

45%

客胜或平局

77%

非平局

78%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis strongly favors Türkiye with a 55% win probability
  • Goal production: Türkiye is predicted to score 1.87 goals, compared to Australia's 1.17 expected goals
  • Tactical comparison: Türkiye averages more possession (53%) and shots on target (4.2) than Australia (43% possession, 2.8 shots on target)
风险因素
  • Australia's goal production is currently stagnant (1.5), with a season average of 1.8
  • Türkiye's goal production is currently stagnant (2.0), with a season average of 2.5
  • No historical head-to-head data is available for this fixture
概述

Australia host Türkiye at BC Place Stadium in the World Cup. The match takes place on June 14, 2026, 6:00 AM. Both teams are kicking off their tournament campaigns and aiming for a strong start.

近期状态

Australia's current form across all competitions is LWWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last appearance ended in a draw

Türkiye is in very good form with DWWWW

The team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches

Their last appearance resulted in a win, and they are unbeaten in 4 games

统计数据

Australia has scored an average of 2.38 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 0.44 goals

Türkiye also averages 2.38 goals per game but conceded an average of 1.50 goals

Australia kept 10 clean sheets, while Türkiye recorded 3 clean sheets

The venue sees an average of 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

历史交锋

No historical head-to-head data is available for this fixture

关键球员

For Australia, Mohamed Touré (2 goals in last 5 games), Harry Souttar (1 goal in last 5 games), and Connor Metcalfe (2 assists in last 5 games) are important players

For Türkiye, Kerem Aktürkoğlu (3 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games), Barış Alper Yılmaz (3 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games), and Arda Güler (2 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games) stand out

门将

Patrick Beach played in 1 of Australia's last 5 matches

Uğurcan Çakır played in 5 of Türkiye's last 5 matches

Australia has achieved 10 clean sheets this season

Türkiye has recorded 3 clean sheets

影响因素

Australia's home record shows an average of 2.3 home goals scored and 0.3 home goals conceded per game

Türkiye's away record indicates an average of 2.4 away goals scored and 1.0 away goals conceded

The BC Place Stadium venue averages 3.0 goals per game

Regarding the artificial turf surface, no specific performance data is available for Australia or Türkiye

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