World Cup

Iraq - Norway

06/16/2026, 10:00 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Iraq
1.5
Total xG
3.1
Norway
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
IRANOR

Iraq

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均2.4球)
-1.18
排名劣势 (第58位 vs 第31位, 相差27位)
-0.27
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01

Norway

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.46
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.35
状态下滑 (2.2 vs 3 赛季平均)
-0.21
排名优势 (第31位 vs 第58位, 相差27位)
+0.11

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均4.3球)
+1.79
+1.79
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

27%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

73%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a balanced match with 37% win probability for both Iraq and Norway, and 1.53 expected goals for each team
  • Norway's strong offensive output in away games (avg 4.67 goals) meets Iraq's solid home defense (avg 0.64 goals conceded)
  • Norway boasts a perfect record on artificial turf with one win and no goals conceded, while Iraq has no recorded matches on this surface
风险因素
  • The absence of historical head-to-head data between these teams leads to limited information for the prediction
  • Iraq averaged only 2.8 shots on target per game in their last 5 matches, indicating low offensive efficiency
  • Norway's goal production shows a negative trend (currently 2.3 goals compared to a season average of 3.4 goals)
概述

Iraq hosts Norway at Gillette Stadium for the opening of the World Cup on June 16, 2026, 11:00 PM

Both teams are starting their tournament campaign and aim for a successful beginning

近期状态

Iraq's recent form in the last five matches is DWWDL

This translates to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Their last game resulted in a 0-2 loss against Venezuela

Norway's form in their last five outings is WLDWD

They also recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Their most recent match was a 1-1 draw against Morocco

统计数据

Iraq scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded 0.64 goals per home game

Norway averaged 4.67 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per away game

The Gillette Stadium has seen an average of 2.2 total goals per game in its last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 40% of games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%

历史交锋

No head-to-head matches between Iraq and Norway are available in the provided dataset

关键球员

For Iraq, key players include Ali Al-Hamadi with 2 goals in 4 games, Merchas Doski with 1 goal in 3 games, and Amir Al-Ammari with 1 goal and 2 assists in 4 games

For Norway, Julian Ryerson is a key figure with 4 assists in 5 games, Martin Ødegaard contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 games, and Erling Haaland provided 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 games

门将

Jalal Hassan  of Iraq has recorded 12 clean sheets this season

Ørjan Nyland of Norway has kept 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Norway has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses with 1:0 goals on artificial turf

No data is available for Iraq's performance on artificial turf

Gillette Stadium averages 2.2 goals per game

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