World Cup

Portugal - Congo DR

06/17/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Portugal
2.2
Total xG
2.8
Congo DR
0.6
最可能的比分

2:0

15%

3:0

11%

1:1

9%

2:1

9%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
PORCD

Portugal

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.74倍)
-2.01
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均2.7球)
-1.80
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+1.33
状态上升 (3.8 vs 3.1 赛季平均)
+0.19
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第60位, 相差55位)
+0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
-0.04

Congo DR

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.62
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.40
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.20
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.14
排名劣势 (第60位 vs 第5位, 相差55位)
-0.10
防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
-0.09

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.6球)
+1.14
+1.14
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

74%

平局

19%

客胜

7%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

93%

客胜或平局

26%

非平局

81%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Portugal with 74% probability
  • Portugal's offensive strength: Portugal is currently scoring more frequently (3.8) than their season average (2.7)
  • Defensive strength vs. offensive weakness: Congo DR's goal production is faltering (1.0), while Portugal's defense is strong
风险因素
  • Limited scoring opportunities: Congo DR averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Limited data availability: There are no previous head-to-head matches between the teams
概述

Portugal hosts Congo DR at NRG Stadium in a World Cup group stage match on June 17, 2026, 6:00 PM. Both teams start in the group in 1st and 2nd position respectively with 0 points. This is the opening match of the tournament for both sides.

近期状态

Portugal is in excellent form with WDWWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) in their last 5 matches. Portugal recently achieved three consecutive wins. Congo DR's form is also good with WWDWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). Their last match ended in a draw.

统计数据

Portugal averages 3.33 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per game this season. They kept 2 clean sheets. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 6 matches. Away from home, Congo DR averages 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 goals conceded. They kept 3 clean sheets in away games. NRG Stadium, the venue, recorded an average of 8.0 total goals in one match, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals being scored.

历史交锋

There are no previous head-to-head matches between Portugal and Congo DR in the provided data.

关键球员

For Portugal, Bruno Fernandes stands out with 2 goals and 2 assists in 418 minutes across the last 5 games. Cristiano Ronaldo scored 3 goals in 368 minutes. Pedro Neto contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in 265 minutes. For Congo DR, Axel Tuanzebe scored 1 goal in 406 minutes in his last 5 appearances.

门将

Diogo Costa played 264 minutes across 3 of Portugal's last 5 matches. Portugal has 2 clean sheets this season. Lionel Mpasi-Nzau played 120 minutes in 1 of Congo DR's last 5 matches. Congo DR recorded 7 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Portugal has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses with 2:0 goals on artificial turf. Congo DR also performs well on artificial turf with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, scoring 4:1. NRG Stadium, with an average of 8.0 goals per game, tends to host high-scoring encounters.

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