World Cup
Brazil - Morocco
06/13/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
10%1:0
10%1:2
8%xG 分解
Brazil
Morocco
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
32%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Equal Chances: The mathematical analysis shows an equal win probability of 34% for both teams and expects 1.12 goals per team
- Offensive Strength: Morocco's consistently high scoring (avg 2.6 goals) meets Brazil's improved form (currently avg 2.6 goals compared to avg 1.7 season goals)
- Artificial Turf Influence: Morocco's positive record (1W-0D-0L) on artificial turf contrasts with Brazil's difficulties (0W-0D-2L)
风险因素
- Neymar (Calf Injury) is absent for Brazil
- Limited data available regarding head-to-head matches between the teams
- The probability for over 2.5 goals is only 39% according to the model
概述
Brazil hosts Morocco at MetLife Stadium for their first World Cup match on June 13, 2026, 11:00 PM. Both teams begin the group stage with 0 points and 0 games played.
近期状态
Brazil's recent form in the last five matches is DLWWW, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last game was a 2-1 victory against Egypt, securing three consecutive wins.
Morocco's form in their last five matches is DWWWD, achieving 3 wins and 2 draws without a loss. Their most recent game was a 1-1 draw against Norway. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Brazil averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 0.94 goals. At home, they average 1.29 goals scored and 0.36 goals conceded. In their last 5 games, Brazil averaged 6.6 shots on target and 54% possession, indicating a strong offensive and balanced playing style.
Morocco boasts a strong record with an average of 2.75 goals scored and only 0.25 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Morocco averages 3.0 goals scored and 0.25 goals conceded. In their last 5 games, Morocco averaged 5.2 shots on target and was dominant with 58% possession. Brazil is currently scoring more frequently (2.6) than their season average (1.7), while Morocco consistently scores 2.6 goals per game.
历史交锋
No data on previous head-to-head matches between Brazil and Morocco is available in the provided dataset.
关键球员
For Brazil, Vinicius Junior stands out with 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 games (avg rating 7.23), Raphinha with 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 games (avg rating 7.32), and Lucas Paquetá with 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games (avg rating 7.34).
For Morocco, Ismael Saibari is a key player with 3 goals in 4 games (avg rating 7.41), Brahim Díaz with 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games (avg rating 7.34), and Neil El Aynaoui with 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games (avg rating 7.16).
门将
Brazil's goalkeeper Alisson has achieved 6 clean sheets this season.
Morocco's goalkeeper Yassine Bounou also has 6 clean sheets.
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf. Brazil has a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with a goal difference of 1:3 on this surface. Morocco has a perfect record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses with 2:0 goals on artificial turf.