World Cup

Qatar - Switzerland

06/13/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Qatar
1.0
Total xG
2.2
Switzerland
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

0:1

12%

1:0

9%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
QATSWI

Qatar

防守不足 (场均失2.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.86
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.37
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.20
排名劣势 (第53位 vs 第17位, 相差36位)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.01

Switzerland

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.88
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.7倍)
+1.50
排名优势 (第17位 vs 第53位, 相差36位)
+0.08
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.02

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

33%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • According to mathematical analysis, Switzerland has a higher win probability of 40%, while Qatar has a 27% chance of winning
  • Switzerland averaged 4.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to Qatar's 1.8 shots on target
  • Switzerland conceded only an average of 0.33 goals per game this season, compared to Qatar's 1.56 goals per game
风险因素
  • Qatar averaged 1.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating limited offensive output
  • Switzerland conceded an average of 2 goals in their recent matches, compared to their season average of 0.33 goals conceded
  • Qatar's recent goal production is 1.0 goals per game, lower than their season average of 1.26 goals
概述

Qatar (3rd place, 0 points) and Switzerland (4th place, 0 points) face each other at Levi's Stadium in the World Cup group stage. The match takes place on June 13, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Both teams kick off their tournament campaigns, battling for crucial early points.

近期状态

Qatar's current form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) across all competitions is LDWLD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Their last match ended in a 0-0 draw against El Salvador. Prior to that, they had a 0-1 loss against Republic of Ireland and a 2-1 win against United Arab Emirates.

Switzerland shows a form of DLDWD (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss). Their last match was a 1-1 draw against Australia. Before that, they secured a 4-1 win against Jordan and a 0-0 draw against Norway.

统计数据

Qatar averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per game this season. They kept 5 clean sheets in 18 matches. Both teams scored in 11 games, and 15 matches had over 2.5 goals. At home, they average 2 goals scored and 0.71 goals conceded per game.

Switzerland performed with an average of 2.33 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per game across 6 matches. They recorded 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 2 games. In 3 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored. Away from home, they averaged 3 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game.

关键球员

For Qatar, key players include: Akram Afif with 3 goals in his last 5 games. Edmílson Junior contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 4 games. Yusuf Abdurisag scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in his last 5 games.

For Switzerland, notable players are: Breel Embolo with 3 goals in his last 5 games. Dan Ndoye scored 2 goals in his last 2 games. Granit Xhaka was involved in 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games.

门将

Qatar's goalkeeper Mahmoud Abunada featured in 5 of the last 5 games and has kept 5 clean sheets this season.

For Switzerland, Gregor Kobel was in goal for 4 of the last 5 games and has recorded 4 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Qatar averages 2 goals scored and 0.71 goals conceded per home game.

Switzerland averages 3 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per away game.

The match will be played on grass.

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