World Cup

United States - Paraguay

06/13/2026, 01:00 AM

4 : 1
预期进球
United States
0.9
Total xG
1.7
Paraguay
0.7
最可能的比分

0:0

20%

1:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

12%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
USPAR

United States

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.80
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.87倍)
+0.51
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.30
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.09
排名优势 (第16位 vs 第37位, 相差21位)
+0.07

Paraguay

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-2.12
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.43倍)
+1.83
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.23
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.20
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.20
排名劣势 (第37位 vs 第16位, 相差21位)
-0.13
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

37%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

52%

Under 1.5

48%

Over 2.5

24%

Under 2.5

76%

Over 3.5

9%

Under 3.5

91%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

63%

双方进球

34%

66%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very tight match with 37% for a home win and 37% for a draw
  • Paraguay's counter-attacking style (31% possession) with an average of 7 shots on target could challenge the United States
  • Both teams show positive recent trends in goals scored (USA: 2.2 instead of 1.9; Paraguay: 1.8 instead of 1.3), which could indicate a more open game
概述

The United States host Paraguay at SoFi Stadium. This World Cup match takes place on June 13, 2026, 2:00 AM. Both teams are starting their group stage campaign.

近期状态

The United States' form (WLLWL) shows 2 wins and 3 losses from their last 5 matches across all competitions. Their last result was a loss.

Paraguay's form (LWWLW) shows 3 wins and 2 losses from their last 5 matches across all competitions. Paraguay won their last game.

统计数据

The United States have scored an average of 1.5 goals per game this season and conceded 2.75 goals per game. They have kept 0 clean sheets.

Paraguay have scored an average of 0.78 goals and conceded 0.56 goals per game this season. They have kept 10 clean sheets.

In home games, the United States scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 2.75 goals.

Paraguay scored an average of 0.83 goals and conceded 1.17 goals in away matches.

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams so far.

The United States won this one match, while Paraguay recorded no wins and there were no draws.

The goal difference stands at 2:1 in favor of the United States.

The last encounter on November 15, 2025, ended in a 2:1 victory for the United States.

关键球员

For the United States, Antonee Robinson (2 goals in 5 games, Avg. 7.28 rating), Folarin Balogun (2 goals in 5 games, Avg. 6.87 rating), and Christian Pulisic (1 goal, 2 assists in 5 games, Avg. 6.73 rating) could play a key role.

For Paraguay, the performances of Orlando Gill (Goalkeeper, Avg. 7.72 rating in 4 games), Damián Bobadilla (1 assist in 4 games, Avg. 7.09 rating), and Julio Enciso (1 goal, 1 assist in 4 games, Avg. 6.6 rating) are noteworthy.

门将

The United States will start with goalkeeper Matt Freese, who played in 4 of the last 5 games and achieved an average rating of 7.00. The team has 0 clean sheets this season.

Paraguay will feature Orlando Gill, who played in 4 of the last 5 games and has an average rating of 7.72. Paraguay has recorded 10 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

The United States have a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses with 5:9 goals on artificial turf in 3 matches.

Paraguay have a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 2:2 goals on artificial turf in 1 match.

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