World Cup

Belgium - Iran

06/21/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Belgium
2.1
Total xG
2.8
Iran
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

13%

1:1

10%

2:1

9%

3:0

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
BELIRA

Belgium

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.92
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.87倍)
+0.69
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.68
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第21位, 相差13位)
+0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
-0.00
全员可用

Iran

状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.35
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均0.8球)
+0.33
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.18
排名劣势 (第21位 vs 第8位, 相差13位)
-0.11
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.08
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.74倍)
-0.07
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

68%

平局

22%

客胜

11%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

89%

客胜或平局

32%

非平局

78%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Belgium's home strength, averaging 3.4 goals scored and only 0.6 goals conceded per game, is a clear advantage
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Belgium with a probability of 68%
  • SoFi Stadium is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 4.7 goals per game and 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 goals
风险因素
  • Iran's shots on target averaged 1.7 in the last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
  • Belgium's recent goal production has slowed, averaging 2.8 goals, compared to their season average of 3.6
  • Several key Iranian players show a declining form trend, including Ramin Rezaeian (-1.15) and Mohammad Mohebi (-0.61)
概述

Belgium (4th place, 1 point) faces Iran (2nd place, 1 point) at SoFi Stadium in a World Cup group stage match. The game is scheduled for June 21, 2026, 7:00 PM. Both teams are currently sharing 2nd and 4th place in their group with one point each after one match played.

近期状态

Belgium's form across all competitions is WDWWD, which translates to 3 wins and 2 draws. Their last game was a 1-1 draw against Egypt, preceded by a 5-0 win over Tunisia. Iran shows a form of DLWWD, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last match was a 2-2 draw against New Zealand, following a 3-1 win against Gambia. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Belgium's season average shows a strong offense with an average of 3.63 goals scored per game and a solid defense with an average of 0.88 goals conceded. At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 3.4 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded. Iran averages 2.19 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded per season. Away from home, their average is 2.33 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded. Iran is currently scoring more frequently (avg 2.8 goals) than their season average (avg 2.4 goals), while Belgium's goal production recently slowed (avg 2.8 goals) compared to their season average (avg 3.6 goals). SoFi Stadium averages 4.7 goals per game, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in all 3 matches played there.

历史交锋

There is no head-to-head data available for Belgium and Iran.

关键球员

For Belgium, Youri Tielemans (2 goals, 1 assist in 378 minutes), Kevin De Bruyne (1 goal, 1 assist in 348 minutes), and Nicolas Raskin (2 goals in 291 minutes) stand out due to their recent performances. For Iran, Mehdi Taremi (3 goals, 1 assist in 309 minutes), Ramin Rezaeian (2 goals, 1 assist in 124 minutes), and Mohammad Mohebi (2 goals, 1 assist in 394 minutes) are the players with the most direct goal contributions in their last 5 games.

门将

Thibaut Courtois, the goalkeeper for Belgium, has achieved 4 clean sheets this season. Iran's goalkeeper Alireza Beiranvand recorded 9 clean sheets in the current season.

影响因素

The match takes place at SoFi Stadium, which has recorded an average of 4.7 total goals per game, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in all 3 matches. The artificial turf surface influences the game. Belgium has a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses with a 7:4 goal difference on artificial turf. Iran has played once on artificial turf, recording 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses with a 2:2 goal difference.

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