World Cup

Norway - Senegal

06/23/2026, 12:00 AM

3 : 2
预期进球
Norway
1.6
Total xG
3.0
Senegal
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
NORSEN

Norway

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.35
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.24
排名劣势 (第31位 vs 第18位, 相差13位)
-0.23
状态下滑 (2.2 vs 3 赛季平均)
-0.22
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+0.07

Senegal

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.34
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.33
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
+0.14
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.14
排名优势 (第18位 vs 第31位, 相差13位)
+0.09
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

27%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Senegal's Squad Strength: CRITICAL: Only 0% of Senegal's usual starting XI strength available
  • Offense vs. Defense: Norway's strong offense (season average 4.63 goals) meets Senegal's robust defense (season average 0.3 goals conceded)
  • Playing Surface: Norway's positive record on artificial turf (2W-0D-0L) compared to Senegal's weaker record (1W-0D-2L)
风险因素
  • Norway averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 61% probability of both teams scoring
概述

Norway (1st place, 3 points) faces Senegal (3rd place, 0 points) at MetLife Stadium. The World Cup match takes place on June 23, 2026, 2:00 AM. Norway won their first game, while Senegal suffered a defeat and urgently needs points.

近期状态

Norway shows mixed form in their last five matches with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (Form: LDWDW). Their last game ended in a win. Senegal has a form of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches (Form: WWLDL). Their last game was a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Norway averages 4.63 goals scored per game this season and concedes 0.63 goals. At home, the average is 4.6 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded. Senegal has averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.3 goals conceded. Away from home, Senegal has averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded. MetLife Stadium has seen an average of 3.0 total goals per game in the last 2 matches. Both teams scored in all 2 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 2 games.

历史交锋

No previous head-to-head matches between Norway and Senegal are available in the dataset.

关键球员

For Norway, Erling Haaland with 2 season goals (3 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games) and Martin Ødegaard with 1 season assist (1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) are key offensive players. Julian Ryerson contributed 4 assists in his last 5 games. For Senegal, Sadio Mané is a key player with 3 goals in his last 5 games. Nicolas Jackson and Pape Gueye each scored 1 goal in their last 5 games.

门将

For Norway, Ørjan Nyland is in goal, with 4 clean sheets this season. For Senegal, Edouard Mendy is the goalkeeper and has achieved 8 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

The match will be played at MetLife Stadium on artificial turf. Norway has a positive record on artificial turf with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses (5:1 goals). Senegal has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses (4:6 goals) on artificial turf. The venue has seen an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 2 matches, with both teams scoring in all games.

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