World Cup
United States - Australia
06/19/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.7
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
United States
Australia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
57%
平局
26%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
43%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for the United States with a 57% probability
- The United States' goal production is significantly reduced, with only 50% of their usual attacking strength available
- Australia's defensive performance this season is very strong, conceding an average of 0.44 goals per game
风险因素
- Australia's starting lineup strength is reduced, with only 63% of the usual impact available
- Australia showed a counter-oriented approach in the last 5 games, averaging only 3.4 shots on target
- The United States conceded an average of 2.75 goals per game this season
概述
The United States (1st place, 3 points) host Australia (2nd place, 3 points) at Lumen Field. This is a World Cup match on June 19, 2026, 8:00 PM. Both teams have 3 points after the first matchday and are aiming for group victory.
近期状态
The United States' form across all competitions is LLWLW. Their last five matches include 2 wins and 3 losses. Their most recent game was a win. Australia shows a form of WWLDW with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games. Australia also secured a win in their last match.
统计数据
The United States average 1.5 goals per home game and concede 2.75 goals. Australia impresses away from home with an average of 2.5 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded per game. At Lumen Field, an average of 2.8 goals are scored per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches.
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between the United States and Australia. The United States won this match 2:1 on October 15, 2025. The goal difference in direct encounters is 2:1 in favor of the United States.
关键球员
For the United States, Folarin Balogun is a key player with 2 season goals (average rating 8.13). Malik Tillman has provided 1 season assist (average rating 7.18). Ricardo Pepi contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games (average rating 7.01). On Australia's side, Paul Okon-Engstler has delivered 1 season assist (average rating 7.63). Harry Souttar scored 1 goal in the last 5 games (average rating 7.30). Mohamed Touré was involved in 1 goal in the last 5 games (average rating 6.61).
门将
The United States goalkeeper, Matt Freese, has kept 0 clean sheets this season. On Australia's side, Patrick Beach has played in the last 2 games, conceding 0 goals. The Australia team has achieved 10 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The United States have an artificial turf record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with 9:10 goals. Australia has achieved 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses with 2:0 goals on artificial turf. At Lumen Field, an average of 2.8 goals are scored per game, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 matches.