World Cup

Argentina - Austria

06/22/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Argentina
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Austria
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
ARGAUS

Argentina

防守实力 (场均失0.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-1.03
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.67倍)
-0.62
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.47
状态上升 (3 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.47
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.40
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第22位, 相差19位)
+0.10

Austria

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+1.16
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
-1.14
防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.80
排名劣势 (第22位 vs 第3位, 相差19位)
-0.23
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2.2球)
-0.05

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.52
+0.52
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

29%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Both teams enter the match in strong form: Argentina with 5 consecutive wins, Austria with 4 wins and 1 draw
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very close game, with a home win probability of 37% and an away win probability of 34%
  • The AT&T Stadium is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 5.0 goals per game and a BTTS rate of 100% in the 2 previous games
风险因素
  • The pipeline predictions show a high probability of a draw at 29%
  • Austria's goal production has recently stalled with an average of 2.2 goals, while their season average is 2.7 goals
概述

Argentina (1st place, 3 points) host Austria (2nd place, 3 points) at the AT&T Stadium

World Cup match on June 22, 2026, 7:00 PM

Both teams won their first match and are aiming for group victory

近期状态

Argentina shows impeccable form with 5 wins in the last 5 games (WWWWW)

Argentina last won 3-0 against Algeria

Austria is also in very good shape with 4 wins and 1 draw from the last 5 matches (DWWWW)

Austria won their last game 3-1 against Jordan

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Argentina scored an average of 1.72 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 0.56 goals

They kept 11 clean sheets and both teams scored in 5 matches

In home games, Argentina scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes an average of 0.33 goals

Austria is very strong offensively with an average of 2.75 goals per game and a defensive record of 0.50 goals conceded

Austria recorded 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 3 matches

In away games, Austria scores an average of 2.67 goals and concedes an average of 0.67 goals

The AT&T Stadium has averaged 5.0 goals per game so far

In all 2 games at the stadium, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

No data on head-to-head matches between the two teams is available

关键球员

For Argentina, Lionel Messi stands out with 3 season goals and an average rating of 9.67

Rodrigo De Paul showed 1 assist and a rating of 7.28 in one appearance

Lisandro Martínez achieved an average rating of 7.16 in one appearance

For Austria, Romano Schmid scored 1 goal and had a rating of 7.22 in one appearance

Xaver Schlager provided 1 assist and a rating of 7.17 in one appearance

Nicolas Seiwald showed an average rating of 7.06 in one appearance

门将

Emiliano Martínez is Argentina's goalkeeper and has recorded 11 clean sheets this season

Alexander Schlager guards the goal for Austria and has achieved 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The AT&T Stadium is a high-scoring venue with an average of 5.0 goals per game

In all 2 games at the stadium, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were scored

Argentina shows defensive stability at home with an average of 1.67 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded

Austria impresses away with an average of 2.67 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded

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