World Cup

New Zealand - Egypt

06/22/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 3
预期进球
New Zealand
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Egypt
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
NZEGY

New Zealand

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.96
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.94
排名劣势 (第83位 vs 第35位, 相差48位)
-0.23
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
全员可用

Egypt

小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.64
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.11
排名优势 (第35位 vs 第83位, 相差48位)
+0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.05
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

30%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

70%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • New Zealand's goal production is critically low, with only 7% of their seasonal goal threat available
  • Egypt shows a positive trend in goal production (currently 1.8 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.5 goals per game), while New Zealand's goal production is declining (currently 1.2 goals per game)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very close match, with identical win probabilities of 35% for both teams and a 30% chance of a draw
风险因素
  • New Zealand has one doubtful player (M. Garbett)
  • There are conflicting signals regarding 'Both Teams To Score': venue history shows a BTTS rate of only 20%, while the prediction model indicates a 54% probability
  • There is only a limited history of head-to-head matches between the teams, with only 1 direct encounter
概述

New Zealand faces Egypt at BC Place Stadium. This World Cup match takes place on June 22, 2026, 2:00 AM. Both teams have collected 1 point after one game. A crucial group stage match to maintain their chances of advancing

近期状态

New Zealand's form from the last five games (all competitions): L-W-L-L-D. The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their last match ended in a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Egypt's form from the last five games (all competitions): W-D-W-L-D. The team achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last match ended in a draw

统计数据

New Zealand averages 5.8 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 0.2 goals. The team kept 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 1 match

Egypt averages 2.0 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 0.2 goals. The team kept 8 clean sheets and both teams scored in 2 matches

At BC Place Stadium, an average of 3.4 goals were scored in the last 5 games. Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

New Zealand has a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses (2:2 goals) on artificial turf

Egypt has a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses (1:1 goals) on artificial turf

历史交锋

New Zealand and Egypt have only met directly once before. New Zealand won this single encounter with a 0:1 score. The last match was on March 22, 2024

关键球员

For New Zealand: Elijah Just has 2 season goals in 1 appearance. Chris Wood provided 2 season assists in 1 appearance. Finn Surman has a season average rating of 7.52

For Egypt: Emam Ashour scored 1 goal in 1 season appearance. Mohamed Salah provided 1 season assist in 1 appearance. Mohanad Lasheen has a season average rating of 7.39

门将

New Zealand's goalkeeper Max Crocombe has achieved 4 clean sheets this season. Egypt's goalkeeper Oufa Shobeir recorded 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

BC Place Stadium has an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 20% of the games, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of the games

New Zealand's home games yield an average of 6.0 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded

Egypt's away games result in an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.25 goals conceded

The playing surface is artificial turf. New Zealand has a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 2:2 goals on it. Egypt achieved 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 1:1 goals on artificial turf

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