World Cup
Mexico - Korea Republic
06/19/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Mexico
Korea Republic
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
30%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: Mathematical analysis favors Mexico with a 46% win probability
- Critical Squad Impact (Mexico): The Mexican team has only 13% of its regular goal production available
- Form Trends: Mexico shows a positive attacking trend, while Korea Republic's goal production has recently shown a negative tendency
风险因素
- Suspension for Mexico: C. Montes Castro (Defender) is missing due to a Red Card Suspension
- Surface Data (Mexico): No data is available for Mexico's performance on artificial turf
- Limited Data: Data for 'totalDuels' is missing for Mexico's last 5 games
概述
Mexico hosts Korea Republic at Estadio AKRON for a World Cup match on June 19, 2026, 2:00 AM. Both teams started the tournament with a win. Mexico is in 1st place in the table with 3 points and a goal difference of +2. Korea Republic is in 2nd place with 3 points and a goal difference of +1. Both teams aim to solidify their strong group stage position.
近期状态
Mexico shows strong form with WDWWW in their last five games. This includes 4 wins and 1 draw. Their last result was a win. Korea Republic has a form of LLWWW in their last five games, which means 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last result was also a win. Mexico's attacking performance has been positive recently, while Korea Republic's goal production has stalled.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Mexico scores an average of 1.88 goals per game this season and concedes only 0.25 goals. Korea Republic is offensive with an average of 2.50 goals per game, but concedes 0.50 goals. Mexico kept 6 clean sheets, while Korea Republic kept 9. In home games, Mexico averages 1.86 goals scored and 0.29 goals conceded. Korea Republic scores an average of 2.40 goals and concedes 0.30 goals in away matches. Estadio AKRON averages 2.8 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 out of 5 matches. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches.
历史交锋
In the 2 previous head-to-head matches, Mexico has 1 win and there has been 1 draw. Korea Republic has not won any of the direct encounters. Mexico scored a total of 4 goals, while Korea Republic scored 3 goals. The last match between them ended in a 2:2 draw on September 10, 2025. Mexico has been more dominant in recent direct duels.
关键球员
For Mexico, Julián Quiñones is crucial with 4 goals in the last 5 games and a season average rating of 8.44, Raúl Jiménez with 2 goals in the last 5 games and a season average rating of 7.69, and Roberto Alvarado with 1 assist in the last 5 games and a season average rating of 7.88. For Korea Republic, In-beom Hwang with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games and a season average rating of 8.59, Heung-min Son with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, and Kang-in Lee with 1 assist in the last 2 games and a season average rating of 8.06 are important players.
门将
For Mexico, Raúl Rangel is in goal and has achieved 6 clean sheets this season. Korea Republic has Seung-gyu Kim as their goalkeeper, who has recorded 9 clean sheets this season. Korea Republic's goalkeeper has therefore completed more games without conceding a goal.
影响因素
Mexico benefits from its home advantage, with an average of 1.86 home goals scored and only 0.29 home goals conceded per game. Estadio AKRON has an average of 2.8 goals per game. Mexico has no data on performance on artificial turf. Korea Republic, however, has played one game on artificial turf, securing a 2:1 victory.