World Cup

Mexico - Korea Republic

06/19/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Mexico
1.4
Total xG
2.4
Korea Republic
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

11%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
MEXKR

Mexico

防守实力 (场均失0.5球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.94
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.22
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.22
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍)
-0.13
排名优势 (第14位 vs 第23位, 相差9位)
+0.06
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.05
全员可用

Korea Republic

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.84
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.16
排名劣势 (第23位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.05
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

30%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

70%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: Mathematical analysis favors Mexico with a 46% win probability
  • Critical Squad Impact (Mexico): The Mexican team has only 13% of its regular goal production available
  • Form Trends: Mexico shows a positive attacking trend, while Korea Republic's goal production has recently shown a negative tendency
风险因素
  • Suspension for Mexico: C. Montes Castro (Defender) is missing due to a Red Card Suspension
  • Surface Data (Mexico): No data is available for Mexico's performance on artificial turf
  • Limited Data: Data for 'totalDuels' is missing for Mexico's last 5 games
概述

Mexico hosts Korea Republic at Estadio AKRON for a World Cup match on June 19, 2026, 2:00 AM. Both teams started the tournament with a win. Mexico is in 1st place in the table with 3 points and a goal difference of +2. Korea Republic is in 2nd place with 3 points and a goal difference of +1. Both teams aim to solidify their strong group stage position.

近期状态

Mexico shows strong form with WDWWW in their last five games. This includes 4 wins and 1 draw. Their last result was a win. Korea Republic has a form of LLWWW in their last five games, which means 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last result was also a win. Mexico's attacking performance has been positive recently, while Korea Republic's goal production has stalled.

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Mexico scores an average of 1.88 goals per game this season and concedes only 0.25 goals. Korea Republic is offensive with an average of 2.50 goals per game, but concedes 0.50 goals. Mexico kept 6 clean sheets, while Korea Republic kept 9. In home games, Mexico averages 1.86 goals scored and 0.29 goals conceded. Korea Republic scores an average of 2.40 goals and concedes 0.30 goals in away matches. Estadio AKRON averages 2.8 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 out of 5 matches. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches.

历史交锋

In the 2 previous head-to-head matches, Mexico has 1 win and there has been 1 draw. Korea Republic has not won any of the direct encounters. Mexico scored a total of 4 goals, while Korea Republic scored 3 goals. The last match between them ended in a 2:2 draw on September 10, 2025. Mexico has been more dominant in recent direct duels.

关键球员

For Mexico, Julián Quiñones is crucial with 4 goals in the last 5 games and a season average rating of 8.44, Raúl Jiménez with 2 goals in the last 5 games and a season average rating of 7.69, and Roberto Alvarado with 1 assist in the last 5 games and a season average rating of 7.88. For Korea Republic, In-beom Hwang with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games and a season average rating of 8.59, Heung-min Son with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, and Kang-in Lee with 1 assist in the last 2 games and a season average rating of 8.06 are important players.

门将

For Mexico, Raúl Rangel is in goal and has achieved 6 clean sheets this season. Korea Republic has Seung-gyu Kim as their goalkeeper, who has recorded 9 clean sheets this season. Korea Republic's goalkeeper has therefore completed more games without conceding a goal.

影响因素

Mexico benefits from its home advantage, with an average of 1.86 home goals scored and only 0.29 home goals conceded per game. Estadio AKRON has an average of 2.8 goals per game. Mexico has no data on performance on artificial turf. Korea Republic, however, has played one game on artificial turf, securing a 2:1 victory.

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