World Cup

Brazil - Haiti

06/20/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
Brazil
3.2
Total xG
3.8
Haiti
0.6
最可能的比分

3:0

13%

4:0

10%

3:1

7%

5:0

7%

2:1

7%
xG 分解
BRAHAI

Brazil

小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.44
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.66倍)
+0.31
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第87位, 相差81位)
+0.23
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.20
状态上升 (2.6 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.20
全员可用

Haiti

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均0.7球)
+0.56
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.12
排名劣势 (第87位 vs 第6位, 相差81位)
-0.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.9球)
+1.36
+1.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

87%

平局

10%

客胜

3%

进球数

Over 1.5

90%

Under 1.5

10%

Over 2.5

73%

Under 2.5

27%

Over 3.5

52%

Under 3.5

48%

双重机会

主胜或平局

97%

客胜或平局

13%

非平局

90%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 87% probability and 3.24 expected goals for Brazil
  • Brazil's offensive output is critically weakened by missing key players, with only 4% of seasonal goal production available
  • Brazil shows better form (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) compared to Haiti's current weak phase (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
风险因素
  • Haiti showed limited offensive threat in their last 5 games, averaging 3.0 shots on target
  • The limited data on head-to-head matches results in an incomplete historical comparison
  • Haiti is currently in a phase of two consecutive losses
概述

Brazil (3rd place, 1 point) faces Haiti (4th place, 0 points) at Lincoln Financial Field in a World Cup match on June 20, 2026, 1:30 AM

Brazil aims for an improved league position after drawing their first match

Haiti needs to secure their first points after an opening loss

近期状态

Brazil's current form (LWWWD) shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 games

Brazil's last result was a draw

Haiti's form (LDWLL) includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games

Haiti has suffered 2 consecutive losses recently

Form explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Brazil averages 1.33 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded per season

In home games, Brazil averages 1.29 goals scored and 0.36 goals conceded

Haiti has a season average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded

In away games, Haiti averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded

Brazil kept 6 clean sheets this season, while Haiti managed 5

Analysis of goal production shows Brazil is currently scoring more frequently (2.6 goals) than their season average (1.7 goals)

Haiti's goal production is currently slowing down (1.2 goals), with a season average of 1.9 goals

Matches at Lincoln Financial Field so far have seen an average of 1.0 total goals per game, with no instances of both teams scoring or over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

No direct head-to-head matches between Brazil and Haiti are available in the provided dataset

关键球员

For Brazil, Vinicius Junior is a key player with 1 season goal and 3 goals plus 1 assist in the last 5 games, showing a rising form trend

Raphinha also shows a rising form trend and contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Casemiro contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, with a rising form trend

For Haiti, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde is a key player with a season average rating of 7.2

Martin Expérience has a season average rating of 7.11

Hannes Delcroix shows a season average rating of 7.07

门将

Brazil's goalkeeper, Alisson, has a season average rating of 6.69

Brazil recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Haiti's goalkeeper, Johny Placide, has a season average rating of 6.43 and a rising form trend

Haiti recorded 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Brazil has scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded only 0.36 goals in home games, suggesting a home advantage

Lincoln Financial Field has seen an average of 1.0 goals per game, with neither team scoring in all matches nor exceeding 2.5 goals

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