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La Liga

Athletic Club - Elche

02/20/2026, 08:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Athletic Club
2.3
Total xG
3.2
Elche
0.9
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

1:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

67%

平局

20%

客胜

12%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

88%

客胜或平局

33%

非平局

80%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Clear favorite according to predictions: The mathematical model gives Athletic Club a 67% win probability and expects 2.31 goals for the home team
  • Elche's defensive vulnerability: Elche concedes an average of 2.44 goals away from home and has not kept a single clean sheet on the road this season
  • Contrasting form curves: Athletic Club has won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Elche is winless in their last 5 games (3 losses, 2 draws)
风险因素
  • Key player missing for Athletic: With Nico Williams not nominated, only 63% of the team's usual goal threat is available
  • Athletic's inconsistent home offense: Despite being favorites, Athletic Club scores only an average of 1.15 goals per game at home
概述

Athletic Club (9th place, 31 points) hosts Elche (16th place, 25 points) at San Mamés Barria

近期状态

La Liga match on February 20, 2026, 9:00 PM

统计数据

Current form Athletic Club: DWWLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in the last 5 games)

历史交锋

The mathematical analysis favors Athletic Club with a 67% probability of winning

关键球员

Current form Elche: DLLLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 games)

门将

Head-to-head: In the last 5 duels, Athletic Club won 2 times, Elche won 1 time, with 2 draws

影响因素

In total, 6 goals were scored for Athletic Club and 3 for Elche in these matches

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