World Cup

Canada - Qatar

06/18/2026, 10:00 PM

6 : 0
预期进球
Canada
1.7
Total xG
2.9
Qatar
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CANQAT

Canada

小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.43
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.28
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.15
排名优势 (第26位 vs 第53位, 相差27位)
+0.12
全员可用

Qatar

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.57倍)
-0.99
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.78
排名劣势 (第53位 vs 第26位, 相差27位)
-0.21
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.10

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.66
+0.66
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

27%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

73%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Canada's active goal production is severely limited, with only 17% of seasonal output available
  • Qatar's defense is extremely vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 4.5 goals per game
  • Canada averages 4.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to Qatar's 2.2
风险因素
  • Qatar's tactical metrics show an average of only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating few attacking opportunities
  • Canada has recorded four draws in their last five matches, highlighting difficulties in converting opportunities into wins
  • The data availability for xG values in Qatar's last 5 games is limited
概述

Canada hosts Qatar at BC Place Stadium for a crucial World Cup group stage encounter

The match is scheduled for June 18, 2026, 10:00 PM

Both teams are on 1 point, with Canada in 3rd place and Qatar in 4th, having drawn their first match

The mathematical analysis indicates Canada as a slight favorite with a 49% home win probability

近期状态

Canada's form in their last five games is DDWDD, comprising 1 win and 4 draws (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Canada has drawn their last two matches consecutively

Qatar's form is DWLDD, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five outings

Qatar also ended their last two matches with a draw

统计数据

Canada averages 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per game this season

The team has kept 3 clean sheets this season

Qatar averages 2.06 goals scored but concedes 1.56 goals per game

Qatar has kept 5 clean sheets in 18 games this season

In away games, Qatar conceded an average of 4.5 goals per match

BC Place Stadium has seen an average of 3.2 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

At this stadium, both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games (40%), and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games (60%)

关键球员

For Canada, Cyle Larin, Stephen Eustaquio, and Richie Laryea are important players

Cyle Larin scored 1 goal in 5 games and has a current average rating of 6.52

Stephen Eustaquio has a current average rating of 6.98 in 5 games

Richie Laryea shows a current average rating of 6.68 in 4 games

For Qatar, Akram Afif, Homam Al-Amin, and Boualem Khoukhi are notable

Akram Afif scored 3 goals in 5 games and has a current average rating of 7.38

Homam Al-Amin provided 1 assist in 5 games with a current average rating of 6.70

Boualem Khoukhi scored 1 goal in 5 games and has a current average rating of 6.72

门将

Canada's goalkeeper, Maxime Crépeau, has achieved 3 clean sheets this season

Qatar's goalkeeper, Mahmoud Abunada, has achieved 5 clean sheets this season

Qatar's goalkeeper has achieved 3 clean sheets in 4 away games

影响因素

Canada has played all their season games at home, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 0.6 goals per home game

Qatar conceded an average of 4.5 goals per away game

The artificial turf at BC Place Stadium has no specific influence on team performance in the available data

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