World Cup

Czech Republic - South Africa

06/18/2026, 04:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Czech Republic
1.5
Total xG
2.4
South Africa
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
CRSA

Czech Republic

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.19
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.14
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.13
排名优势 (第39位 vs 第55位, 相差16位)
+0.11
全员可用

South Africa

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.48倍)
-0.94
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.53
排名劣势 (第55位 vs 第39位, 相差16位)
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.11
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
+0.03
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.52
+0.52
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

29%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

71%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Czech Republic with a 51% probability and 1.53 expected goals
  • Czech Republic is currently scoring more frequently (2.6) than their season average (2.3), while South Africa's goal production is faltering (0.8) compared to their season average of 1.5
  • The Czech Republic team has shown strong attacking capabilities in their last 5 games with an average of 5.4 shots on target
风险因素
  • For Czech Republic, only 5% of the total squad's goal production is covered by the current starting lineup based on available data
  • For South Africa, only 0% of the total squad's goal production is covered by the current starting lineup based on available data
  • South Africa must cope without S. Sithole and T. Zwane due to Red Card Suspensions
概述

Czech Republic host South Africa at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in a World Cup match on June 18, 2026, 4:00 PM

Czech Republic currently stands in 3rd place with 0 points, while South Africa is in 4th place with 0 points

Both teams are looking for their first points in the tournament

近期状态

Czech Republic's current form across all competitions is WDDWL

This translates to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games

Their last match resulted in a loss

South Africa's form is DLDDL, with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

South Africa also lost their last game

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Czech Republic scored an average of 2.2 goals per game this season and conceded 1.2 goals

At home, they average 2.33 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded

South Africa averaged 1.7 goals per game and conceded 0.6 goals

Away from home, they average 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded

In 5 matches at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium, an average of 2.4 total goals per game were scored

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches

历史交锋

There is no data available for previous head-to-head encounters between these two teams

关键球员

For Czech Republic, Patrik Schick shows strong form with 3 goals in his last 4 games and a rising form trend

Vladimír Coufal provided 1 assist in his last 4 games and his form is rising

Vladimír Darida scored 1 goal in 3 games and has a high average rating of 7.39

For South Africa, Oswin Appollis was in top form with 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 3 games, and his form trend is sharply rising

Jayden Adams scored 1 goal in his last 4 games with a rising form

Thalente Mbatha also scored 1 goal in his last 4 games and his form is rising

门将

Czech Republic's goalkeeper Matej Kovar has a season average rating of 6.72 and showed rising form in his last 3 games with a rating of 7.06

South Africa's Ronwen Williams has a season average rating of 6.72, and his form is stable with a rating of 6.62 in his last 4 games

Both teams have kept 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Czech Republic has a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss (1:2 goals) on artificial turf

South Africa has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss (3:3 goals) on artificial turf

The venue, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, averages 2.4 goals per game

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