World Cup

Colombia - Congo DR

06/24/2026, 02:00 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Colombia
1.7
Total xG
2.4
Congo DR
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

2:0

13%

1:1

12%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
COLCD

Colombia

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.49
排名优势 (第13位 vs 第60位, 相差47位)
+0.11
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
+0.05
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.03

Congo DR

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第60位 vs 第13位, 相差47位)
-0.13
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.08
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

26%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

74%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 60% probability, with 1.70 expected goals for Colombia versus 0.70 for Congo DR
  • Colombia displays strong current form with 3 consecutive wins in their last 5 matches
  • Congo DR exhibits critically low active goal production, with only 6% of their goal threat available
风险因素
  • Congo DR averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Colombia has a negative record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss on artificial turf
概述

Colombia (2nd place, 3 points) face Congo DR (3rd place, 1 point) at Estadio AKRON

This World Cup group stage match is scheduled for June 24, 2026, 2:00 AM

Colombia aims to extend their group lead, while Congo DR needs crucial points to advance

近期状态

Colombia's form across all competitions is LLWWW, recording 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

They currently have 3 consecutive wins

Congo DR shows a form of WDWDD, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses in their last 5 games, remaining unbeaten in 5 matches

统计数据

Colombia averages 1.56 goals scored per game and concedes 1.0 goals per game this season

At home, they average 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 goals conceded

Congo DR averages 1.42 goals scored per game and concedes just 0.58 goals per game

Away, they average 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 goals conceded

Estadio AKRON has seen an average of 2.2 total goals per game across 5 matches

Both teams scored in 20% of games, and 40% finished with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

No historical head-to-head matches between these teams are available in the dataset

关键球员

For Colombia, Luis Díaz has shown strong performances with 1 goal and 1 assist this season, along with 2 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games

Daniel Muñoz contributed 1 goal this season with an average rating of 7.48

Gustavo Puerta recorded 1 assist this season with an average rating of 7.16

For Congo DR, Yoane Wissa scored 1 goal this season and in his last 5 games, with a season average rating of 7.23

Arthur Masuaku provided 1 assist this season

Chancel Mbemba had an average rating of 6.87

门将

Camilo Vargas (Colombia) kept 7 clean sheets this season

Lionel Mpasi-Nzau (Congo DR) also recorded 7 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Colombia has a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss on artificial turf with a goal difference of 0:1

Congo DR, however, has a positive record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses with a 5:2 goal difference on artificial turf

The Estadio AKRON has seen an average of 2.2 total goals per game in 5 matches

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