World Cup
Portugal - Uzbekistan
06/23/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
2.8
3.3
0.6
2:0
14%3:0
13%4:0
9%2:1
8%3:1
7%xG 分解
Portugal
Uzbekistan
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
83%
平局
13%
客胜
4%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
双重机会
主胜或平局
96%
客胜或平局
17%
非平局
87%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a clear home win for Portugal with a probability of 83%
- Uzbekistan's offensive capabilities are severely limited, with only about 4% of their seasonal goal production from active players available
- Portugal is undefeated in their last 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws), while Uzbekistan has suffered 3 consecutive losses
风险因素
- Uzbekistan generated an average of only 3.2 shots on target per game in their last 5 matches, indicating limited chance creation
- The absence of J. Masharipov due to an Inguinal Hernia could further weaken Uzbekistan
- Uzbekistan started the World Cup season with a loss and currently holds 4th place in the group with 0 points
概述
Portugal (3rd place, 1 point) faces Uzbekistan (4th place, 0 points) at NRG Stadium
This World Cup group stage match takes place on June 23, 2026, 6:00 PM
Portugal is seeking a crucial victory to improve their group standing
Uzbekistan is looking for their first points in the tournament
近期状态
Portugal shows solid form with a DWWWD record from their last five games (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
Their last match ended in a draw
Uzbekistan has suffered three consecutive losses recently (WDLLL, 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Portugal averages 3.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.17 goals per game this season
At home, their average is 3 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded
They have achieved 2 clean sheets this season
Uzbekistan averages 1.69 goals scored per game and concedes 0.69 goals per game
In away matches, their average is 1.62 goals scored and 1 goal conceded
Uzbekistan has recorded 10 clean sheets this season
NRG Stadium shows a high average of 5.33 total goals per game in 3 played matches
Both teams scored in all 3 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 3 games
历史交锋
According to the provided data, there have been no previous head-to-head matches between Portugal and Uzbekistan
关键球员
For Portugal, Bruno Fernandes (2 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games, form rising), Pedro Neto (1 goal, 3 assists in last 5 games, form stable), and Cristiano Ronaldo (2 goals in last 5 games, form stable) are notable
For Uzbekistan, Abbosbek Fayzullaev (1 season goal, 2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, form stable), Eldor Shomurodov (2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, form rising), and Abdukodir Khusanov (form rising) show strong performances
门将
Portugal's goalkeeper Diogo Costa has achieved 1 clean sheet in home games this season
Uzbekistan's starting goalkeeper is Abduvokhid Nematov
The team has recorded a total of 10 clean sheets this season, with 4 of them in away matches
影响因素
The match takes place at NRG Stadium on artificial turf
Portugal has a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 3:1 goals on artificial turf
No data is available for Uzbekistan regarding matches on artificial turf
NRG Stadium is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 5.3 goals per match