World Cup
Spain - Saudi Arabia
06/21/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
2.1
3.2
1.1
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
7%3:0
6%xG 分解
Spain
Saudi Arabia
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
58%
平局
23%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- High Home Win Probability: Mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Spain with a 58% probability
- Spain's Strong Offense and Form: Spain is unbeaten in their last 5 games and averages 3.5 season goals per game
- Spain's Tactical Advantage: Spain demonstrates a possession-dominant style with 67% possession and an average of 5.4 shots on target
风险因素
- Spain has recently shown a lower goal production, with 2.3 goals per game compared to their season average of 3.1
- The match is on artificial turf; Spain has only played 1 game (1 draw) on this surface, and no data is available for Saudi Arabia
概述
Spain (3rd place, 1 point) faces Saudi Arabia (2nd place, 1 point) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This is a crucial FIFA World Cup group stage match on June 21, 2026, 4:00 PM. Both teams need points to improve or secure their group position.
近期状态
Spain is in good form with a WDDWD record in their last five games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). Their last match ended in a draw. Saudi Arabia's recent form is LLWDD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), with their last two games ending in draws. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Spain has shown a very strong offensive performance this season with an average of 3.5 goals per game and 4 home goals per game. Their defense is also robust, conceding an average of 0.33 goals per game. Saudi Arabia averages 1.22 goals per game, and 1.18 goals per game away from home. The Saudi defense concedes an average of 0.72 goals per game. Spain has kept 5 clean sheets this season, while Saudi Arabia has 10. In 4 out of 5 games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored. The stadium averages 2.4 goals per game.
历史交锋
There has only been one head-to-head match between these two nations. Saudi Arabia won this single encounter 1-0 on June 23, 2006. The match was played in Saudi Arabia.
关键球员
For Spain, Lamine Yamal (3 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games, rising form), Pedri (1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games, season average rating 8.95) and Mikel Oyarzabal (1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) are crucial. For Saudi Arabia, Abdulelah Al-Amri (1 season goal, 1 goal in last 5 games, season average rating 7.49), Musab Al-Juwayr (1 goal in last 5 games, rising form) and Salem Al-Dawsari (1 goal in last 5 games, rising form) stand out.
门将
Spain's goalkeeper is Unai Simón, who has an average rating of 6.92 this season. For Saudi Arabia, Mohammed Al-Owais is in goal with a season average rating of 7.87. Spain has kept 5 clean sheets this season, while Saudi Arabia has recorded 10 clean sheets.
影响因素
Mercedes-Benz Stadium features an artificial turf surface. Spain has played 1 game on artificial turf, resulting in 1 draw (0:0 goals). There is no recorded data for Saudi Arabia playing on artificial turf. The stadium averages 2.4 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches.