World Cup
Türkiye - Paraguay
06/20/2026, 03:00 AM
预期进球
1.7
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Türkiye
Paraguay
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
27%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a win for Türkiye with a probability of 51% and expected 1.73 goals
- Türkiye is in better form with 4 wins in the last 5 games, while Paraguay has a mixed record of 3 wins and 2 losses
- The tactical approach is contrasting: Türkiye is possession-dominant (62% possession), while Paraguay is counter-attacking with many shots on target (6.6 shots on target with 29% possession)
风险因素
- Despite being favorites, Türkiye shows a stalling goal production of 1.6 goals recently compared to the season average of 2.3 goals
- Paraguay has recently improved its offensive performance, scoring an average of 1.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.2 goals
- There are no historical head-to-head data available for both teams
概述
Türkiye (3rd place, 0 points) faces Paraguay (4th place, 0 points) at Levi's Stadium
This World Cup match on June 20, 2026, 3:00 AM, is crucial for both teams in the fight for group stage progression after both lost their first game
近期状态
Türkiye showed a form of WWWWL in their last five matches, consisting of four wins and one loss
Their last match was a 0-2 loss against Australia
Previously, they had a 2-1 win against Venezuela and a 4-0 win against North Macedonia
Paraguay has a form of WWLWL in their last five matches, with three wins and two losses
Their last match ended in a 1-4 loss against the United States
Before that, they won 4-0 against Nicaragua and lost 1-2 against Morocco
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Türkiye averaged 2.38 goals per game and conceded 1.5 goals per game this season
They kept 3 clean sheets, both teams scored in 4 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 games
In home games, Türkiye scored an average of 2.33 goals and conceded 2.33 goals
Paraguay averaged 0.78 goals per game and conceded only 0.56 goals per game this season
They managed to keep 10 clean sheets, both teams scored in 4 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 games
Away from home, Paraguay averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded
At Levi's Stadium, the two previous matches saw an average of 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of 2 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 2 matches
关键球员
For Türkiye, Kerem Aktürkoğlu is in rising form with 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Yunus Akgün contributed 2 goals in the last 5 games and also shows rising form
Arda Güler provided 2 assists in the last 5 games
For Paraguay, Julio Enciso is active with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Isidro Pitta scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in his last 3 games
Miguel Almirón shows rising form
门将
Uğurcan Çakır of Türkiye achieved 3 clean sheets this season
For Paraguay, goalkeeper Orlando Gill showed rising form in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.48 and has already secured 10 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match takes place at Levi's Stadium on grass
Historical venue data shows an average of 3.0 goals per game
In both previous matches, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in one of two encounters
Türkiye averages 2.33 goals per home game, while Paraguay averages 0.83 goals away from home