World Cup
Ecuador - Curacao
06/21/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
2.6
3.1
0.5
2:0
15%3:0
14%4:0
9%2:1
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
Ecuador
Curacao
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
83%
平局
14%
客胜
4%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
双重机会
主胜或平局
96%
客胜或平局
17%
非平局
86%
双方进球
是
36%
否
64%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Ecuador with an 83% probability
- Curacao shows a strongly negative form with 4 losses in the last 5 games and recently conceded an average of 4.5 goals
- Ecuador has a very strong defense with only 0.28 goals conceded per game this season and kept 13 clean sheets
风险因素
- Ecuador's home offense averages only 0.79 goals per game
- Curacao's recent goal production is low at 0.8 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.3 goals
- Curacao averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Ecuador (3rd place, 0 points) host Curacao (4th place, 0 points) at Arrowhead Stadium
World Cup match on June 21, 2026, 2:00 AM
Both teams aim to collect points in the group stage
近期状态
Ecuador's form across all competitions: DDWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Their last match resulted in a loss
Curacao's form across all competitions: DLLLL
They achieved 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
Curacao is currently on a streak of 4 consecutive losses
统计数据
Ecuador scored an average of 0.78 goals per game and conceded 0.28 goals
They kept 13 clean sheets
Curacao scored an average of 2.8 goals per game and conceded 0.5 goals
They kept 6 clean sheets
The Arrowhead Stadium has seen an average of 3.0 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 0 out of 1 matches at the stadium
There was 1 Over 2.5 result in 1 match at the stadium
历史交锋
No previous head-to-head meetings were found in the dataset
关键球员
For Ecuador, Enner Valencia (Attacker) is a key player with 2 goals in the last 5 games
John Yeboah (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 appearances
Pervis Estupiñán (Defender) added 1 goal in his last 5 matches
For Curacao, Juninho Bacuna (Midfielder) stands out with 2 assists in the last 5 games
Livano Comenencia (Defender) scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
Tahith Chong (Midfielder) also scored 1 goal in his last 5 matches
门将
Ecuador's goalkeeper Hernán Galíndez has 13 clean sheets this season
His form trend is rising with a delta of +0.61
Curacao's goalkeeper Eloy Room recorded 6 clean sheets
His form trend is also rising with a delta of +0.71
影响因素
The match will take place on grass at Arrowhead Stadium
The stadium has an average of 3.0 goals per game
Ecuador scores an average of 0.79 goals at home and concedes 0.14 goals
Curacao scores an average of 2.8 goals away and concedes 0.2 goals