World Cup

Scotland - Morocco

06/19/2026, 10:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Scotland
1.3
Total xG
2.7
Morocco
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SCOMOR

Scotland

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.4倍)
-0.81
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.74
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.41
排名劣势 (第43位 vs 第11位, 相差32位)
-0.23
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.03

Morocco

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.46倍)
-0.48
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.46
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.38
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.24
排名优势 (第11位 vs 第43位, 相差32位)
+0.10

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

29%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

71%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: Morocco is slightly favored with a 39% win probability, compared to Scotland's 32%
  • Morocco's Defense: Morocco boasts an exceptionally strong defensive record, conceding an average of only 0.25 goals per game with 6 clean sheets
  • Scotland's Offensive Form: Scotland enters the match with 3 consecutive wins and maintains a season average of 2.17 goals scored per game
风险因素
  • Missing H2H data: The absence of historical head-to-head data limits contextual analysis for this matchup
  • Morocco's xG value: Morocco's recent expected goals average (0.75) is significantly lower than their season goals average (2.75)
  • Tight prediction outcome: Pipeline predictions show a close contest with 32% home win, 29% draw, and 39% away win, indicating high unpredictability
概述

Scotland host Morocco at Gillette Stadium for a World Cup match

The game is scheduled for June 19, 2026, 6:00 PM

Scotland currently holds 1st place in the table with 3 points after one win

Morocco is in 2nd place with 1 point after one draw

Both teams are competing for a strong starting position in the group stage

近期状态

Scotland's form in their last five matches is LLWWW

This record includes 3 wins and 2 losses

The team is currently on a streak of 3 consecutive wins

Morocco's form in their last five matches is WWWDD

This represents 3 wins and 2 draws, with the team remaining unbeaten

Morocco has played to a draw in their last 2 consecutive matches

统计数据

Scotland averages 2.25 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded in home games

Morocco averages 3.00 goals scored and 0.25 goals conceded in away games

Scotland has scored an average of 2.17 goals and conceded 1.17 goals per game this season

Morocco shows strong season performance with an average of 2.75 goals scored and only 0.25 goals conceded per game

Advanced statistics indicate Scotland consistently scores around 2.4 goals per game

Morocco also consistently scores around 2.5 goals per game

The venue sees an average of 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games

历史交锋

No historical head-to-head matches between these two teams are available in the dataset

关键球员

For Scotland, midfielder John McGinn is a key player with 1 season goal, 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Scott McTominay, also a midfielder, scored 2 goals in his last 5 appearances

Forward Ché Adams has contributed 3 goals in the last 5 games

For Morocco, midfielder Ismael Saibari is crucial with 1 season goal and 3 goals in the last 5 games

Attacker Brahim Díaz has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in his last 5 appearances

Defender Issa Diop scored 1 goal in the last 5 games

门将

For Scotland, goalkeeper Angus Gunn  is between the posts

His team recorded 2 clean sheets this season

For Morocco, Yassine Bounou guards the goal

His team has kept 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will take place at Gillette Stadium on artificial turf

Scotland has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses (1:0 goals) on artificial turf

Morocco's record on this surface is 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses (3:1 goals)

The stadium averages 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 80%

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