World Cup

Uruguay - Spain

06/27/2026, 12:00 AM

0 : 1
预期进球
Uruguay
0.8
Total xG
2.2
Spain
1.5
最可能的比分

0:1

14%

1:1

13%

0:0

12%

0:2

12%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
URUSPA

Uruguay

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.50
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第1位, 相差14位)
-0.13

Spain

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.67
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.42倍)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第15位, 相差14位)
+0.09
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

17%

平局

29%

客胜

53%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

47%

客胜或平局

83%

非平局

71%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: A mathematical analysis indicates an away win for Spain with a 53% probability
  • Form Disparity: Spain is unbeaten in their last five matches with 2 wins and 3 draws, while Uruguay is winless
  • Offensive Prowess: Spain averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches and scores an average of 3.5 goals per game this season
风险因素
  • Uruguay's goal production is stagnant (1.3), season average is 1.6
  • Uruguay averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • The Estadio AKRON venue has seen an average of only 1.4 total goals per game in its last five matches
概述

Uruguay faces Spain at Estadio AKRON

This World Cup match will take place on June 27, 2026, 2:00 AM

Spain leads the group in 1st place with 4 points, while Uruguay is in 2nd place with 2 points

近期状态

Uruguay's last five matches across all competitions show 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss

Their current form is LDDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Uruguay drew 2-2 with Cape Verde Islands in their last outing

Spain recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses in their last five matches

Their current form is DDWDW

Spain won their most recent game against Saudi Arabia with a 4-0 score

统计数据

Uruguay scores an average of 1.22 goals per game and concedes 0.67 goals

In home games, Uruguay scores an average of 1.23 goals and concedes 0.31 goals

Spain shows strong offense with an average of 3.5 goals per game and a defense that concedes only 0.33 goals

In away games, Spain averages 3.25 goals scored and 0 goals conceded

The Estadio AKRON venue has seen an average of 1.4 total goals per game in its last five matches

Both teams scored in 20% of games, and 20% of games had over 2.5 goals

关键球员

For Uruguay, Maxi Araújo is a key player with 2 season goals and 1 assist, holding an average rating of 8.05

Federico Valverde has a season average rating of 7.18

Agustín Canobbio has scored 1 season goal and has a season average rating of 7.06

For Spain, Mikel Oyarzabal stands out with 2 season goals, 1 assist, and an average rating of 8.25

Lamine Yamal contributed 1 season goal and has an average rating of 7.52

Aymeric Laporte has 1 season assist and an average rating of 7.41

门将

Uruguay's goalkeeper, Fernando Muslera, has a season average rating of 5.95

Uruguay has kept 10 clean sheets this season

Spain's goalkeeper, Unai Simón, has a season average rating of 6.98

Spain has achieved 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played at Estadio AKRON on an artificial turf surface

Uruguay's record on artificial turf is 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 0:0 goals

Spain's record on artificial turf is 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 4:0 goals

Uruguay's home statistics show 1.23 goals scored and 0.31 goals conceded per home game

Spain scores an average of 3.25 goals and concedes 0 goals in away games

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