World Cup
Ecuador - Germany
06/25/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
0.8
2.1
1.3
1:1
15%0:0
14%0:1
14%0:2
10%1:0
9%xG 分解
Ecuador
Germany
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
22%
平局
32%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
78%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Germany's strong form with five consecutive wins and high goal threat
- Ecuador's outstanding defense with only 0.28 goals conceded on average this season and 13 clean sheets
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Germany with 45% probability and 1.27 expected goals
风险因素
- Germany's goal threat is reduced by 27% due to Nathaniel Brown's absence (1 goal, 1 assist), as only 73% of the usual starting XI's strength is available
- Ecuador's low offensive efficiency with an average of only 0.78 goals per game and 10 matches without scoring
- MetLife Stadium has shown a high goal average (3.67 goals) and 100% 'Both Teams To Score' in the last three games, which could challenge Ecuador's defense
概述
Ecuador (3rd place, 1 point) faces Germany (1st place, 6 points) at MetLife Stadium. The World Cup match takes place on June 25, 2026, 9:00 PM. Germany has already qualified for the round of 16 and aims to secure the top spot, while Ecuador is still fighting for a place in the knockout stage.
近期状态
Ecuador's form in the last five games is DWWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This includes two wins, two draws, and one loss
Their last match ended in a draw (0-0 against Curacao)
Germany is in top form with WWWWW in their last five games
They have won all five matches
Their last game was a 2-1 victory against Côte d'Ivoire
统计数据
Ecuador averages 0.78 goals scored per game and concedes only 0.28 goals per game this season
The team kept 13 clean sheets and failed to score in 10 matches
Germany scores an average of 2.67 goals per game and concedes 0.5 goals per game
They kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score in only one match
Ecuador's home strength shows 0.79 goals scored and 0.14 goals conceded per game
Germany's away record features 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game
Tactical analysis shows Ecuador scores consistently (approx. 1.5 goals per game)
Germany currently scores more often (3.4) than their season average (3.1)
历史交锋
There has been only one head-to-head match between these two teams
Germany won this encounter 3-0 on June 20, 2006
Based on this single result, Germany dominates the historical record
关键球员
For Ecuador, Moisés Caicedo (Midfielder, AvgRating 7.86), Pedro Vite (Midfielder, AvgRating 7.69), and Gonzalo Plata (Attacker, AvgRating 7.53) are in the starting XI
John Yeboah (Attacker, AvgRating 7.47) provided 2 assists in the last 5 games
Enner Valencia (Attacker, AvgRating 6.39) scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
For Germany, Joshua Kimmich (Midfielder, AvgRating 7.93) and Felix Nmecha (Midfielder, AvgRating 7.92) are key players
Kai Havertz (Attacker, AvgRating 7.14) scored 4 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Joshua Kimmich provided 6 assists in the last 5 games
门将
Ecuador relies on Hernán Galíndez (AvgRating 6.80), who shows a rising form trend (AvgRating 7.24) in the last 5 games
Germany has Manuel Neuer (AvgRating 6.52) in goal, whose form is stable (AvgRating 6.47) in the last 5 games
Ecuador recorded 13 clean sheets this season
Germany achieved this in 4 games
影响因素
The match takes place at MetLife Stadium on artificial turf
Germany has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses with 7:1 goals on artificial turf
No specific data is available for Ecuador on artificial turf
The venue has seen an average of 3.67 goals per game in 3 matches
Both teams scored in all 3 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 3 matches