World Cup

Bosnia and Herzegovina - Qatar

06/24/2026, 07:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2.3
Total xG
3.1
Qatar
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

1:1

10%

3:0

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
BAHQAT

Bosnia and Herzegovina

排名劣势 (第73位 vs 第53位, 相差20位)
-0.39
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.24
100%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)

Qatar

防守不足 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均0.9球)
+1.11
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.21
排名优势 (第53位 vs 第73位, 相差20位)
+0.06
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

68%

平局

20%

客胜

11%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

89%

客胜或平局

32%

非平局

80%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Bosnia and Herzegovina with 68% probability and 2.27 expected goals
  • Qatar demonstrates significant defensive vulnerability away from home, conceding an average of 4.5 goals per game
  • Qatar's offensive output is low, averaging only 1.8 shots on target in their last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Qatar concedes an average of 4.5 away goals per game
  • Qatar averaged 1.8 shots on target in their last 5 games (few attempts)
概述

Bosnia and Herzegovina (3rd place, 1 point) host Qatar (4th place, 1 point) at Lumen Field. World Cup match on June 24, 2026, 8:00 PM. Both teams are seeking crucial points in the group stage

近期状态

Bosnia and Herzegovina's form in all competitions is DDDDL (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss)

Their last match ended in a loss

Qatar's form in all competitions is WLDDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)

Their last match also ended in a loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Bosnia and Herzegovina score an average of 1.9 goals per game and concede 0.9 goals per game

Their goal production is stagnant recently (1.0) compared to their season average (1.7)

At home, the team averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded

Qatar scores an average of 2.06 goals and concedes 1.56 goals per game

Qatar's goal production is stagnant recently (0.8) compared to their season average (1.1)

Away from home, Qatar concedes an average of 4.5 goals per game

Lumen Field has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches at the stadium

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 matches at the stadium

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any head-to-head matches between these teams

关键球员

Bosnia and Herzegovina's key players include Nikola Katic (avg 7.23 rating), Ivan Basic (avg 6.90 rating), and Sead Kolasinac (avg 6.88 rating)

For Qatar, Boualem Khoukhi (avg 6.98 rating), Karim Boudiaf (avg 6.88 rating), and Akram Afif (avg 6.77 rating) are important

Boualem Khoukhi scored 1 goal this season

Akram Afif scored 1 goal in the last 5 games

门将

Nikola Vasilj (Bosnia and Herzegovina) recorded 3 clean sheets this season

Mahmoud Abunada (Qatar) kept 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Bosnia and Herzegovina has a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss (1:4 goals) on artificial turf

Qatar has a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss (0:6 goals) on artificial turf

Lumen Field averages 2.6 goals per game with a BTTS rate of 60%

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