World Cup

Czech Republic - Mexico

06/25/2026, 01:00 AM

0 : 3
预期进球
Czech Republic
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Mexico
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
CRMEX

Czech Republic

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.57
排名劣势 (第39位 vs 第14位, 相差25位)
-0.23
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
全员可用

Mexico

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.15
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第14位 vs 第39位, 相差25位)
+0.09
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.01
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
-0.01
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.38
+0.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

30%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

70%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Critical weakening of the Czech attack with only 9% of usual goal production in the squad
  • Mexico is in top form with five consecutive wins in recent matches
  • The Mexican defense is very strong with an average of 0.25 goals conceded per season
风险因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a balanced outcome with 35% for a home win, 30% for a draw, and 35% for an away win
  • Limited historical head-to-head data restricts the historical assessment between both teams
概述

Czech Republic (3rd place, 1 point) faces Mexico (1st place, 6 points) at Estadio Banorte

This World Cup match takes place on June 25, 2026, 3:00 AM

For Czech Republic, this is a crucial group stage match to maintain chances of advancing

Mexico is in a more comfortable position to reach the next round

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Czech Republic shows a form of DDWLD in their last five matches

This includes 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

Their last game ended in a 1-1 draw against South Africa

Mexico is in excellent condition with a form of WWWWW

They have won all of their last five matches, including a 1-0 against Korea Republic

统计数据

Czech Republic scored an average of 2.2 goals per game and conceded 1.2 goals per game this season

At home, they average 2.33 goals scored and 0.83 goals conceded

Mexico is offensively strong with an average of 1.88 goals per game and defensively outstanding with only 0.25 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Mexico has averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 goals conceded this season (in one game)

Czech Republic kept 5 clean sheets in 10 games, Mexico in 6 of 8 games

At Estadio Banorte, the average total goals in the last 5 matches was 2.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and 2 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

No previous head-to-head meetings between these two teams were found in the provided data

关键球员

For Czech Republic, Ladislav Krejci (Defender) has a season rating of 7.37 and scored 1 goal in the last 5 games

Michal Sadílek (Midfielder) achieved a season rating of 7.03 and contributed 1 goal in the last 5 matches

Vladimír Coufal (Defender) has a season rating of 7.09 and assisted 1 goal in the last 5 games

For Mexico, Julián Quiñones (Attacker) shines with a season rating of 7.73 and 4 goals in the last 5 games

Roberto Alvarado (Attacker) achieved a season rating of 7.35 and provided 1 assist in the last 5 matches

Luis Romo (Defender) has a season rating of 7.58 and was involved in 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

门将

Matej Kovar, goalkeeper for Czech Republic, recorded 5 clean sheets this season

He has a season rating of 6.59 and a last 5 rating of 6.97, showing a rising form trend

Mexico's goalkeeper Raúl Rangel achieved 6 clean sheets this season

His season rating is 7.15, the last 5 rating is 6.80, indicating a declining form trend

影响因素

The grass pitch at Estadio Banorte is the natural surface for this match

Historical data at Estadio Banorte shows an average of 2.2 goals per game

In 40% of matches, both teams scored, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals

Mexico demonstrates strong away defense with 0.0 goals conceded in their only away game this season

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