World Cup

Scotland - Brazil

06/24/2026, 10:00 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
Scotland
0.8
Total xG
2.4
Brazil
1.6
最可能的比分

0:1

13%

1:1

13%

0:2

12%

0:0

11%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
SCOBRA

Scotland

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.28
排名劣势 (第43位 vs 第6位, 相差37位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10

Brazil

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.62
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.36
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第43位, 相差37位)
+0.11
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
+0.03
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

16%

平局

27%

客胜

57%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

43%

客胜或平局

84%

非平局

73%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Brazil's offensive threat is critically limited, with only 17% of typical goal production available.
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a Brazil win with a 57% probability.
  • Brazil's strong recent form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, contrasts with Scotland's mixed performance.
风险因素
  • Brazil's away defense is a concern, as they concede an average of 3.0 goals per away game.
  • The probability for over 2.5 goals is only 43% according to the mathematical model, suggesting a potentially lower-scoring match.
概述

Scotland (3rd place, 3 points) face Brazil (1st place, 4 points) at Hard Rock Stadium in a World Cup fixture. The match is on June 25, 2026, 12:00 AM. Brazil seeks to solidify its top position in the group.

近期状态

Scotland's recent form is LWWWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Their last five matches include a 0-1 loss against Morocco and a 1-0 win over Haiti.

Brazil shows strong form with WWWDW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). Their recent results feature a 3-0 victory against Haiti and a 1-1 draw with Morocco.

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Scotland averages 2.17 goals scored per game and concedes 1.17 goals per game this season. They have kept 2 clean sheets. In home games, Scotland averages 2.25 goals scored and 1 goal conceded.

Brazil averages 1.33 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded per game this season. They achieved 6 clean sheets. In away games, Brazil averages 1.5 goals scored but concedes 3.0 goals.

The venue, Hard Rock Stadium, has seen an average of 3.0 total goals per game in its 2 matches, with both teams scoring in 2 of 2 games (100% BTTS rate). Over 2.5 goals occurred in 1 of 2 games (50% Over 2.5 rate).

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between Scotland and Brazil.

关键球员

For Scotland, Lawrence Shankland has shown strong recent form, with 4 goals and 1 assist in his last 4 games, averaging a rating of 7.69 (form rising). Scott McTominay contributed 2 goals in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.32 (form rising). John McGinn recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games, with an average rating of 6.95.

For Brazil, Vinicius Junior is a key attacker, scoring 3 goals and providing 2 assists in his last 4 games, with an average rating of 7.46. Midfielder Lucas Paquetá registered 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games, averaging 7.33. Matheus Cunha scored 2 goals in his last 4 games, with an average rating of 7.03.

门将

Scotland's goalkeeper Angus Gunn has a season average rating of 6.79 and has recorded 2 clean sheets this season.

Brazil's goalkeeper Alisson has a season average rating of 6.93 and has achieved 6 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Scotland exhibits a home scoring average of 2.25 goals, while conceding 1.0 goal at home. Brazil's away form shows an average of 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 goals conceded.

The venue's playing surface is grass.

Hard Rock Stadium indicates an average of 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in all 2 previous matches, and Over 2.5 goals in 1 of 2 matches.

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