World Cup
Colombia - Portugal
06/27/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%xG 分解
Colombia
Portugal
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
28%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Portugal's offensive strength: Portugal averages 3.33 goals per game, including 4.0 goals in away matches
- Balanced prediction: Mathematical analysis shows equal win probabilities of 36% for both teams and 1.44 expected goals
- Colombia's home defensive strength: Colombia concedes only 0.7 goals per home game on average
风险因素
- Limited starting lineup strength for Colombia: Only 65% of usual goal threat is available, Daniel Muñoz (2G/0A) is not in the lineup
- Short recovery period for Colombia: The team had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Portugal's away defensive weakness: Portugal concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
概述
Colombia (1st place, 6 points) faces Portugal (2nd place, 4 points) at Hard Rock Stadium
This World Cup match takes place on June 28, 2026, 12:30 AM
Both teams are in a strong position in the group stage
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Colombia shows strong form with LWWWW in their last five matches
The team recorded four wins and one loss
Currently, Colombia has achieved four consecutive wins
Portugal is also in excellent form with WWWDW in their last five outings
This equates to four wins and one draw without a single loss
Portugal secured a win in their last match
统计数据
Colombia averages 1.56 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.0 goals
In home games, Colombia is defensively solid with 1.6 goals scored per match and only 0.7 goals conceded
The team kept 7 clean sheets
Portugal is very strong offensively with an average of 3.33 goals scored per game
Their defense concedes an average of 1.17 goals
Away from home, Portugal scores an impressive 4.0 goals per game, but also concedes 2.0 goals
The Hard Rock Stadium sees an average of 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 3 matches, and 2 out of 3 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
关键球员
For Colombia, Luis Díaz (1 goal, 1 assist this season, 2 goals, 3 assists in last 5 games with a rating of 7.54) and Jhon Arias (2 goals in last 5 games with a rating of 7.40) are important attacking forces
James Rodríguez contributed 2 assists in the last 5 games and achieved a rating of 7.47
For Portugal, Cristiano Ronaldo stands out (2 goals this season, 4 goals in last 5 games with a rating of 6.97)
Bruno Fernandes scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists in the last 5 matches and has a rating of 7.82
Pedro Neto was involved in 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games with a rating of 6.84
门将
Camilo Vargas is the goalkeeper for Colombia and has an average rating of 6.4 this season
The team kept 7 clean sheets this season
Diogo Costa is the goalkeeper for Portugal and has an average rating of 7.6 this season
Portugal kept 2 clean sheets
影响因素
The Hard Rock Stadium shows a tendency for high-scoring games with an average of 3.0 goals per match
In 2 out of 3 games, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 3 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored