World Cup
Tunisia - Netherlands
06/25/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.5
1.8
1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
7%1:3
5%3:1
5%xG 分解
Tunisia
Netherlands
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
24%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
70%
否
30%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The model forecasts a balanced match with 38% win probability and 1.77 expected goals for both teams
- Form Disparity: Netherlands is in better form with 2 wins in 5 games, while Tunisia recorded 4 losses in 5 games
- Netherlands' Offensive Strength: Netherlands has already scored 7 goals in the World Cup, while Tunisia could only register 1 goal
风险因素
- Tunisia's tournament defense: Tunisia conceded 9 goals in 2 World Cup matches
- Limited offensive threat for Tunisia: Tunisia averaged only 1.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Critical squad strength for Tunisia: Only 71% of the usual starting XI strength is available
概述
Tunisia (4th place, 0 points) faces Netherlands (1st place, 4 points) at Arrowhead Stadium. This World Cup match takes place on June 26, 2026, 1:00 AM. Tunisia aims to overcome their weak tournament performance, while the Netherlands seek to solidify their strong position.
近期状态
Tunisia showed poor form in their last five matches with 'DLLLL' (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their last encounter ended in a loss.
Netherlands presented themselves in better condition with 'DLWDW'. They achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five fixtures. Netherlands won their last game.
统计数据
Tunisia has scored 1 goal and conceded 9 goals in this World Cup. Their season average goal production is 2.2 goals per game.
Netherlands has scored 7 goals and conceded 3 goals in the tournament so far. Their season average is 3.38 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded per game, keeping 5 clean sheets.
The venue, Arrowhead Stadium, recorded an average of 1.5 goals per game in 2 matches. Both teams scored in 0 of 2 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 2 games.
历史交锋
The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between Tunisia and Netherlands.
关键球员
For Tunisia, Hannibal is an important midfielder with a season rating of 6.97 and one assist in 4 of the last 5 games. Anis Slimane (season rating 6.55) also registered one assist in his last 5 appearances. Montassar Talbi (season rating 6.62) is a key defender and played in all 5 of the last matches.
For the Netherlands, Cody Gakpo stands out, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist this season, and 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Brian Brobbey scored 2 goals this season and also 2 goals in the last 5 games. Ryan Gravenberch (season rating 7.16) provided 2 assists this season, which he also confirmed in the last 5 games. Crysencio Summerville (2G/1A) is not named in the starting lineup.
门将
Tunisia's goalkeeper, Aymen Dahmen, played 1 game this season with an average rating of 5.73. Tunisia kept 10 clean sheets this season.
Bart Verbruggen is the goalkeeper for Netherlands. He played 2 season games with an average rating of 6.94. Netherlands recorded 5 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The home team, Tunisia, has averaged 2.17 goals in home games this season and conceded no home goals. The away team, Netherlands, averaged 3.33 goals per away game and conceded 1 goal per away game.
Arrowhead Stadium has seen an average of 1.5 goals per game. Both teams scored in 0% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 50% of matches.