World Cup

Croatia - Ghana

06/27/2026, 09:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Croatia
1.5
Total xG
2.3
Ghana
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
CROGHA

Croatia

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.56
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.17
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.25倍)
-0.15
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第75位, 相差66位)
+0.10

Ghana

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.54
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.21
排名劣势 (第75位 vs 第9位, 相差66位)
-0.15
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.44
+0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

30%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

70%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: Croatia has a 51% home win probability, supported by 1.46 predicted goals, emphasizing their favoritism
  • Squad Impact (Ghana): Ghana's active starting lineup contributes only 0% to their usual strength, indicating a significant reduction in effectiveness
  • Offensive Season Statistics: Croatia's season average of 3.25 goals per game is significantly higher than Ghana's 2.3 goals per game
风险因素
  • Low Shots on Target: Ghana averaged only 2.4 shots on target recently, indicating a limited attacking threat
  • Negative Form Trend: Both Croatia and Ghana show a "Negative" recent form trend according to Advanced Stats
  • Missing Head-to-Head Data: The absence of head-to-head data restricts a complete historical analysis
概述

Croatia hosts Ghana at Lincoln Financial Field in a World Cup group stage match on June 27, 2026, 11:00 PM. Croatia sits in 3rd place with 3 points, while Ghana is in 2nd place with 4 points. Both teams are competing for a spot in the next round.

近期状态

Croatia's form in their last five matches (all competitions): L-L-W-L-W, comprising 2 wins and 3 losses. Their last result was a 1-0 victory against Panama. Ghana's form (all competitions) is L-L-D-W-D, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their last game ended in a 0-0 draw against England. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Croatia has shown strong offense this season with an average of 3.25 goals scored per game and a solid defense conceding 0.5 goals per game. They kept 5 clean sheets and had 6 matches with over 2.5 goals. Ghana averages 2.3 goals scored per game and concedes 0.6 goals per game. They achieved 6 clean sheets and 5 matches with over 2.5 goals. Lincoln Financial Field averages 2.3 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 0 out of 4 matches, and 2 out of 4 matches featuring over 2.5 goals.

关键球员

For Croatia, Martin Baturina (1 season goal, 7.53 avg rating), Ante Budimir (1 season goal, 7.5 avg rating), and Ivan Perišić (1 season assist, 7.1 avg rating) are in the starting lineup. Baturina's form has been declining recently. For Ghana, Antoine Semenyo (1 goal in last 5 games, 6.36 avg rating), Jordan Ayew (6.7 avg rating), and Kamaldeen Sulemana (6.48 avg rating) are starting. Semenyo's form has been rising recently.

门将

Croatian goalkeeper Dominik Livakovic has a season average rating of 7.2 and has kept 5 clean sheets. Ghana's goalkeeper Benjamin Asare has a season average rating of 7.37 and has kept 6 clean sheets.

影响因素

Croatia has scored an average of 3.0 home goals and conceded 0.4 home goals per game. Ghana has scored an average of 2.2 away goals and conceded 0.6 away goals per game. Lincoln Financial Field records an average of 2.3 total goals per game, indicating a tendency for lower-scoring games with fewer instances of both teams scoring.

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