World Cup
Norway - France
06/26/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.3
1.6
1:1
12%1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
7%0:2
5%xG 分解
Norway
France
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
26%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- Significant absences for Norway: Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard are missing, leaving only 36% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available
- France's tactical strength: The team has shown a possession-dominant style (59% possession) in their last 5 games with an average of 5.8 shots on target
- Balanced prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win and away win probability of 37% each
风险因素
- Short rest for Norway: The team had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Low goal average at venue: Gillette Stadium historically shows an average of 2.0 goals per game
- Norway's negative form trend: According to advanced stats, Norway's recent form shows a negative trend
概述
Norway (2nd place, 6 points) faces France (1st place, 6 points) at Gillette Stadium in the World Cup. The match takes place on June 26, 2026, 7:00 PM. Both teams have shown strong performances in their respective groups so far and are level on points.
近期状态
Norway's form in the last five matches is DWDWW (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). They have recorded two consecutive wins recently. France's form is WLWWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss), with three consecutive wins being their latest trend. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Norway has averaged 4.63 goals scored per game and conceded 0.63 goals per game this season. At home, they average 4.6 goals scored and only 0.4 goals conceded. France averages 2.67 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per game. Away from home, France scored 2.33 goals and conceded 1.0 goal per game. Gillette Stadium has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last five matches. Both teams scored in 40% of games, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between Norway and France.
关键球员
For Norway, Jørgen Strand Larsen is a key player with 2 goals in the last 3 games and an average rating of 7.17. Leo Østigård scored 1 goal in 5 games and has a season rating of 6.87. Oscar Bobb recorded 1 assist in the last 5 games, and his form is rising with a rating of 6.91. For France, Kylian Mbappé stands out with 4 season goals (2.57 goals per 90 minutes) and 5 goals in the last 5 games, with a rating of 8.27. Michael Olise has 4 season assists, as well as 3 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games, with a rating of 8.64. Ousmane Dembélé has 1 season goal and 1 assist, as well as 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 4 games, with a rating of 7.68.
门将
Egil Selvik is listed as the goalkeeper for Norway. The team has achieved a total of 4 clean sheets this season. Mike Maignan is the goalkeeper for France. France has recorded 3 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf. Norway shows a strong record on this surface with 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 8 goals and conceding 3. France is also successful on artificial turf with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 5 goals and conceding 2. Gillette Stadium averages 2.0 goals per game historically.