World Cup

South Africa - Korea Republic

06/25/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
South Africa
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Korea Republic
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
SAKR

South Africa

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.65
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.27
排名劣势 (第55位 vs 第23位, 相差32位)
-0.23
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

Korea Republic

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.29
排名优势 (第23位 vs 第55位, 相差32位)
+0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.05

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.63
+0.63
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

30%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

70%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a balanced match with both teams having a 35% win probability
  • Korea Republic's offense shows more penetration with an average of 5.4 shots on target in the last 5 games, compared to South Africa's 3.2 shots on target
  • The venue, Estadio BBVA Bancomer, has a high goal average, with 4.0 goals per game and 100% Over 2.5 in the last 5 matches
风险因素
  • South Africa will be without T. Zwane (Red Card Suspension) and T. Mokoena (Yellow Card Suspension)
  • South Africa averaged only 3.2 shots on target in its last 5 games
  • Both teams show a negative trend in their goal production according to Advanced Stats
概述

South Africa (4th place, 1 point) faces Korea Republic (2nd place, 3 points) at Estadio BBVA Bancomer. This World Cup match is scheduled for June 25, 2026, 2:00 AM. Both teams are competing in the group stage for advancement

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

South Africa's recent form is LDDLD

The team recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in its last 5 matches

The last match ended in a draw

Korea Republic's recent form is LWWWL

Korea Republic achieved 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses in its last 5 matches

The last match ended in a loss

统计数据

South Africa averages 1.7 goals scored per game and concedes 0.6 goals per game this season

In home games, South Africa scores an average of 1.83 goals and concedes 0.5 goals

Korea Republic averages 2.5 goals scored per game and concedes 0.5 goals per game this season

In away games, Korea Republic scores an average of 2.4 goals and concedes 0.3 goals

Estadio BBVA Bancomer recorded an average of 4.0 total goals in its last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 80% of the matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of the matches

历史交锋

No previous head-to-head meetings found between South Africa and Korea Republic

关键球员

For South Africa, Oswin Appollis is notable with 1 goal in the last 3 games and a rising form trend

Khuliso Mudau recorded 1 assist in the last 4 games with stable form

Ronwen Williams shows stable form as a goalkeeper

For Korea Republic, In-beom Hwang is crucial with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, despite a declining form trend

Kang-in Lee contributed 1 assist in the last 3 games, also with a declining form trend

Hyeon-gyu Oh scored 1 goal in the last 5 games, with his form also declining

门将

South Africa's goalkeeper Ronwen Williams has kept 5 clean sheets this season

Korea Republic's goalkeeper Seung-gyu Kim has recorded 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Estadio BBVA Bancomer shows a high average of 4.0 goals per game

80% of matches here saw both teams scoring

100% of matches had over 2.5 goals

South Africa scores an average of 1.83 goals at home and concedes 0.5 goals

Korea Republic scores an average of 2.4 goals away and concedes 0.3 goals

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