World Cup
Türkiye - United States
06/26/2026, 02:00 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.5
1.3
1:1
14%0:0
10%0:1
10%1:2
9%1:0
8%xG 分解
Türkiye
United States
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
29%
平局
30%
客胜
40%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
60%
客胜或平局
71%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact for the United States: Only 20% of usual starting XI strength without Alex Freeman (1G/1A) and Folarin Balogun (2G/0A)
- Table situation: The United States lead with 6 points, while Türkiye is at 0 points after 2 losses
- Türkiye's offensive strength: Türkiye averaged 5.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
风险因素
- The United States concede an average of 2.75 goals per game this season
- Türkiye has a negative record on artificial turf with 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss
概述
Türkiye (4th place, 0 points) host the United States (1st place, 6 points) at SoFi Stadium. World Cup match on June 25, 2026, 7:00 PM. Türkiye urgently needs points, while the United States aim to extend their group lead. The mathematical analysis slightly favors the United States with a 40% win probability, while a draw is predicted at 30% and a home win at 29%.
近期状态
Türkiye recently showed inconsistent form with WWWLL, corresponding to 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last two matches were losses. The United States showed a form of LWLWW, with 3 wins and 2 losses. The United States won their last two matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Türkiye averages 2.38 goals scored per game and concedes 1.5 goals per game this season. In home games, the average is 2.33 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded. The United States averages 1.5 goals scored per game and concedes 2.75 goals per game this season. Türkiye has kept 3 clean sheets so far, while the United States has none. At SoFi Stadium, the last 4 games averaged 3.5 total goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of games, and 75% of games had over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
In the only head-to-head encounter, the United States won with a score of 2:1. The United States scored 2 goals in this match, Türkiye scored 1 goal. The last meeting took place on June 7, 2025.
关键球员
For Türkiye, Barış Alper Yılmaz is in good form, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games and an average rating of 6.94. Orkun Kökçü contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.33. Arda Güler provided 1 assist in his last 5 appearances with an average rating of 7.01. For the United States, Giovanni Reyna with 1 goal in the last 5 games (rating 6.67) and Ricardo Pepi with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games (rating 6.87) are important attacking forces. Weston McKennie shows a season rating of 7.14.
门将
Türkiye's goalkeeper Uğurcan Çakır recorded 3 clean sheets this season. Matt Turner, the United States goalkeeper, has not achieved any clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf. Türkiye has a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss (0:2 goals) on this surface. The United States has a record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses (11:10 goals) on artificial turf. SoFi Stadium's last 4 games show an average of 3.5 total goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of games and 75% of games had over 2.5 goals.