World Cup
Senegal - Iraq
06/26/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.6
3.3
0.7
2:0
12%3:0
11%2:1
9%3:1
8%1:1
8%xG 分解
Senegal
Iraq
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
77%
平局
16%
客胜
7%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
双重机会
主胜或平局
93%
客胜或平局
23%
非平局
84%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Senegal with 77% probability
- Critically: Only 14% of Senegal's goal production is currently available
- Senegal's consistent season scoring (avg. 2.2 goals per game) and solid defense (avg. 0.3 goals conceded per game) contrast with Iraq's stagnant offensive performance (recent avg. 0.8 goals) and very few shots on target (recent avg. 1.6 per game)
风险因素
- Senegal has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Iraq averaged only 1.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Senegal (3rd place, 0 points) faces Iraq (4th place, 0 points) at BMO Field in a World Cup match. This is a crucial group stage game on June 26, 2026, 8:00 PM. Both teams are at the bottom of the table and urgently need points for progression.
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Senegal's form in the last five matches is WLDLL, with one win, one draw, and three losses. Their last match ended in a loss.
Iraq's form in the last five matches is WDLLL, also with one win, one draw, and three losses. Iraq has suffered three consecutive losses recently.
统计数据
Senegal has scored an average of 2.2 goals per game and conceded 0.3 goals per game this season. In home games, the average is 2.17 goals scored and only 0.17 goals conceded.
Iraq has scored an average of 1.5 goals per game and conceded 0.65 goals per game this season. Away from home, the team scored an average of 1.56 goals and conceded 0.67 goals.
Senegal consistently scores around 2.1 goals per game.
Iraq's goal production is stagnant at 0.8, while their season average is 1.1.
BMO Field has seen an average of 2.6 goals per match in the last five games. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and 2 of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals.
关键球员
For Senegal, Sadio Mané (3 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, avg. 7.07 rating), Ismaïla Sarr (2 goals in last 5 games, avg. 6.76 rating), and Ibrahim Mbaye (1 goal in last 3 games, avg. 6.89 rating) are key offensive players.
For Iraq, Amir Al-Ammari (2 assists in last 4 games, avg. 6.73 rating), Ali Al-Hamadi (1 goal in last 4 games, avg. 6.65 rating), and Merchas Doski (1 goal in last 3 games, avg. 6.96 rating) are among the key performers.
门将
Senegal's goalkeeper Mory Diaw has an average rating of 6.50 in the last five games. Senegal has kept eight clean sheets this season.
Ahmed Basil Fadhil, Iraq's goalkeeper, achieved an average rating of 6.65 in his last three games. Iraq has recorded twelve clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Senegal's home strength is evident with an average of 2.17 goals scored and only 0.17 goals conceded per home game.
BMO Field has an average of 2.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 40% of matches. The pitch surface is grass.