World Cup
England - Congo DR
07/01/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
2.0
2.5
0.5
2:0
17%1:0
16%3:0
12%0:0
9%1:1
9%xG 分解
England
Congo DR
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
74%
平局
20%
客胜
6%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
94%
客胜或平局
26%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
33%
否
67%
关键因素
- England is a clear favorite to win with a 74% probability according to mathematical analysis
- England in their last 5 games: possession-dominant (70% possession), averaged 6.4 shots on target (offensively strong)
- Congo DR in their last 5 games: counter-oriented (42% possession), averaged 2.8 shots on target (average offensively)
风险因素
- Congo DR averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
England (1st place, 7 points) faces Congo DR (3rd place, 4 points) at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This World Cup match takes place on July 1, 2026, 6:00 PM. The Three Lions are clear favorites and aim to advance to the next round.
近期状态
England shows strong form with WWWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) from their last five matches across all competitions. The home team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw. The last result was a 2-0 victory against Panama. Congo DR played WDDLW in their last five games, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last match ended in a 3-1 win against Uzbekistan.
统计数据
England has averaged 2.75 goals scored and conceded 0 goals per game this season. At home, they average 3 goals scored and 0 goals conceded per game. Congo DR scored an average of 1.42 goals and conceded 0.58 goals per game this season. Away from home, they averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 goals conceded. The Mercedes-Benz Stadium has seen an average of 3.2 total goals per game in 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals scored in 3 out of 5 games. England is currently scoring more frequently (2.5) than their season average (2.0), while Congo DR scores consistently (approximately 1.2 goals per game).
历史交锋
There are no historical head-to-head matches between England and Congo DR in the provided dataset.
关键球员
For England, Harry Kane with 3 goals and Jude Bellingham with 2 goals and 1 assist this season are crucial. Marcus Rashford has also scored 1 goal this season. Harry Kane recorded 4 goals in his last 5 games with stable form. Jude Bellingham scored 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games with stable form. For Congo DR, Yoane Wissa is the top scorer with 3 season goals. Arthur Masuaku contributed 1 assist. Nathanaël Mbuku is also an attacking option.
门将
England's goalkeeper Jordan Pickford has kept 8 clean sheets this season. For Congo DR, Lionel Mpasi-Nzau has recorded 7 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
England has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses (6:2 goals) on artificial turf. Congo DR has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (8:4 goals) on artificial turf. The Mercedes-Benz Stadium is known for an average of 3.2 goals per game, with a 60% chance for both teams to score and a 60% chance for over 2.5 goals.