World Cup

Switzerland - Algeria

07/03/2026, 03:00 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Switzerland
1.3
Total xG
2.1
Algeria
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

14%

0:0

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
SWIALG

Switzerland

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.57
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.24
排名优势 (第17位 vs 第38位, 相差21位)
+0.09
全员可用

Algeria

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.43
排名劣势 (第38位 vs 第17位, 相差21位)
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.14
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

32%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

68%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 46% win probability for Switzerland, with 1.30 expected home goals compared to 0.84 expected goals for Algeria
  • Critical attacking efficiency: Switzerland has only 50% of their goal production available, while Algeria has only 17%
  • Switzerland's robust defense: They concede an average of only 0.33 goals per game, while Algeria's current form trend is negative
风险因素
  • The absence of head-to-head data means a limited historical assessment of direct encounters
  • Algeria's current form is described as 'Negative' in the advanced statistics, indicating potential struggles
  • BC Place Stadium has a high goal rate of an average of 4.2 goals per game, which could lead to an unpredictable match flow
概述

Switzerland (1st place, 7 points) faces Algeria (3rd place, 4 points) at BC Place Stadium. This World Cup match takes place on July 3, 2026, 4:00 AM. Switzerland leads its group, while Algeria is fighting for qualification.

近期状态

Switzerland shows good form with WDDWW in their last five games across all competitions. This equates to 3 wins and 2 draws. They recently recorded 2 consecutive wins.

Algeria has a form of WWLWD in their last five games, corresponding to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last result was a draw.

统计数据

Switzerland has scored an average of 2.33 goals per game this season and conceded only 0.33 goals. In home games, the average is 2.2 home goals and 0.2 home goals conceded per game. They kept 4 clean sheets.

Algeria recorded an average of 2.4 goals per game and 0.8 goals conceded this season. Away from home, they score 2.5 goals and concede 0.5 goals. They achieved 3 clean sheets.

BC Place Stadium has an average of 4.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 matches and 4 out of 5 matches ending with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head matches between Switzerland and Algeria.

关键球员

For Switzerland, Johan Manzambi stands out with 3 season goals and 1 assist, showing stable form. Breel Embolo has 1 season goal and 2 assists, also displaying stable form. Rubén Vargas contributed 2 goals and 1 assist, but his form is declining.

On Algeria's side, Riyad Mahrez is an important player with 2 goals and 2 assists this season, though his form is declining. Houssem Aouar contributed 2 assists, but also shows declining form. Rafik Belghali scored 1 goal.

门将

Switzerland's goalkeeper, Gregor Kobel, recorded 4 clean sheets this season. For Algeria, Luca Zidane achieved 3 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Switzerland has a positive record on artificial turf with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal difference of 6:2. No data is available for Algeria on artificial turf.

BC Place Stadium has averaged 4.2 goals per game in 5 matches played, with over 2.5 goals in 80% of matches. This suggests a tendency towards high-scoring encounters.

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