World Cup

Argentina - Cape Verde Islands

07/03/2026, 10:00 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Argentina
2.6
Total xG
3.1
Cape Verde Islands
0.4
最可能的比分

2:0

16%

3:0

14%

4:0

9%

2:1

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
ARGCVI

Argentina

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均2.2球)
-1.38
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.25
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第70位, 相差67位)
+0.17
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+0.13

Cape Verde Islands

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均0.8球)
+0.34
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第70位 vs 第3位, 相差67位)
-0.08
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.06

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

83%

平局

13%

客胜

4%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

96%

客胜或平局

17%

非平局

87%

双方进球

34%

66%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: Argentina is the clear favorite with a win probability of 83%
  • Current Form: Argentina is in top form with 5 consecutive wins, Cape Verde Islands with 3 draws
  • Offensive Strength: Argentina scores more frequently recently (2.4) than their season average (2.2)
风险因素
  • Lack of Head-to-Head History: No previous direct meetings are recorded in the dataset
  • Opponent's Defensive Resilience: Cape Verde Islands showed resilience with 3 consecutive draws, including against stronger opponents
概述

Argentina (1st place, 9 points) host Cape Verde Islands (2nd place, 3 points) at the Hard Rock Stadium. This World Cup match takes place on July 3, 2026, 10:00 PM. Argentina has dominated the group stage and aims for group victory, while Cape Verde Islands are surprisingly in second place and fighting for a spot in the knockout phase.

近期状态

Argentina is in top form with a run of 5 consecutive wins (WWWWW)

In these 5 matches, the team scored 13 goals and conceded only 1 goal

Cape Verde Islands were undefeated in their last 5 games with 2 wins and 3 draws (WWDDD)

In their last 5 matches, they scored 8 goals and conceded 2 goals

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Argentina shows an offensive record this season with an average of 1.72 goals per game and a strong defense with only 0.56 goals conceded per game

At home, Argentina averages 1.67 goals scored and concedes only 0.33 goals per home game

Cape Verde Islands average 1.6 goals scored per game this season and concede 0.8 goals

Away from home, Cape Verde Islands have scored an average of 1.67 goals and conceded 1.33 goals per match

The Hard Rock Stadium has seen an average of 2.25 total goals per game in 4 matches played

Both teams scored in 2 out of 4 games (50%), and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 4 games (50%)

历史交锋

The dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between Argentina and Cape Verde Islands

关键球员

For Argentina, Lionel Messi stands out with 6 season goals and an average rating of 9.03

Lautaro Martínez contributed 1 season goal

Rodrigo De Paul shone with 1 season assist and an average rating of 7.05

For Cape Verde Islands, Kevin Lenini impressed with 1 season goal and an average rating of 7.0

Roberto Lopes shows a strong average rating of 7.31

Deroy Duarte achieved an average rating of 6.94

门将

Emiliano Martínez of Argentina kept 11 clean sheets this season

Vozinha of Cape Verde Islands recorded 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Argentina benefits from its strong home defense, allowing an average of only 0.33 goals per game

Cape Verde Islands concede an average of 1.33 goals per away game

The Hard Rock Stadium has recorded an average of 2.25 goals per game across 4 matches

According to venue statistics, 50% of matches ended with both teams scoring and 50% with over 2.5 goals

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