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La Liga

Celta de Vigo - Mallorca

02/22/2026, 05:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Celta de Vigo
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Mallorca
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

27%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

73%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Mallorca's extreme away weakness: Conceding an average of 2.88 goals per away game, their defense is the biggest vulnerability
  • The goal threat of Vedat Muriqi: The Mallorca striker has already scored 16 goals this season and is capable of deciding any match on his own
  • Clear favorite according to the model: The analysis predicts a 48% win probability for Celta de Vigo, while Mallorca only has a 25% chance
风险因素
  • Potential fatigue for Celta: The home team has had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could lead to exhaustion
  • Celta's inconsistent form: Despite being favorites, Celta has won only one of their last five matches (3 draws, 1 loss)
  • Mallorca's unpredictability: Although their overall record is poor, they have achieved notable results in recent weeks, like the 4-1 victory over Sevilla
概述

Celta de Vigo (7th place, 34 points) host Mallorca (18th place, 24 points) at the Estadio de Balaídos

The La Liga match will take place on February 22, 2026, at 6:30 PM

Celta is looking to secure an upper mid-table position, while Mallorca is in a relegation battle

近期状态

Celta de Vigo form (all competitions): DDLDW

From the last 5 matches, Celta achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and suffered 1 loss

Mallorca form (all competitions): WLWLL

Mallorca recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games, including two consecutive losses

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.33 goals per game and concedes 1.13

Mallorca scores an average of 1.21 goals but concedes 1.63 goals per game

Mallorca's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.88 goals per game

Both teams scored in 16 of Mallorca's 24 league games this season

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 2 wins for Celta de Vigo, 1 win for Mallorca, and 2 draws

The goal difference is slightly in favor of Celta de Vigo with 6:4

The last encounter on August 23, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

For Celta de Vigo, Ferran Jutglà (3 goals, 1 assist), defender Javi Rueda (2 goals, 4 assists), and midfielder Miguel Román could be in the spotlight

For Mallorca, striker Vedat Muriqi is the standout player with 16 seasonal goals

He is supported by Sergi Darder (1 goal, 3 assists) and Samú Costa (4 goals) in midfield

门将

In goal for Celta de Vigo is Ionuț Radu, who has kept 7 clean sheets this season

Leo Román, Mallorca's goalkeeper, has managed to keep a clean sheet 3 times this season

影响因素

Celta de Vigo has a solid home record, averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded per game

The Estadio de Balaídos has recently been the scene of high-scoring games, with an average of 3.2 goals in the last five matches

In 80% of Celta's last five home games, more than 2.5 goals were scored

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