World Cup

Colombia - Ghana

07/04/2026, 01:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Colombia
1.9
Total xG
2.6
Ghana
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

14%

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

3:0

9%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
COLGHA

Colombia

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.79
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第13位 vs 第75位, 相差62位)
+0.13
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.29倍)
-0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.00

Ghana

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.22
排名劣势 (第75位 vs 第13位, 相差62位)
-0.12
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.11

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.38
+0.38
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

66%

平局

23%

客胜

11%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

89%

客胜或平局

34%

非平局

77%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Colombia's possession-dominant play with an average of 6.0 shots on target in the last 5 games
  • Ghana's counter-attacking style with an average of only 2.4 shots on target in the last 5 games, indicating few attempts on goal
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Colombia with 66% probability and 1.90 expected goals
风险因素
  • Ghana's low average of 2.4 shots on target in the last 5 games
  • Lack of head-to-head data for both teams, making historical tendencies unclear
概述

Colombia host Ghana at Arrowhead Stadium for a World Cup match on July 4, 2026, 2:30 AM. Colombia (1st place, 7 points) are the favorites against Ghana (3rd place, 4 points). Both teams are playing for advancement in the World Cup

近期状态

Colombia shows strong current form with WWWWD, featuring 4 wins and 1 draw. The last match ended in a draw. The positive form trend is underscored by a run of four wins in the last five games. Ghana's form is mixed with LDWDL, comprising 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, and a negative form trend. Ghana lost their last match

统计数据

Colombia averages 1.56 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per season. At home, these values improve to 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 goals conceded per game. Ghana shows strong attacking performance this season with an average of 2.3 goals scored and concedes only 0.6 goals per game. Away from home, the values are consistent with 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per game. Colombia kept 7 clean sheets, while Ghana recorded 6 clean sheets. For Colombia, 9 games ended with 'Both teams scored' and 9 games with over 2.5 goals, while for Ghana, 3 games had 'Both teams scored' and 5 games had over 2.5 goals. Arrowhead Stadium averaged 3.25 goals in 4 matches, with both teams scoring in 2 of 4 games and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 4 games. Advanced stats indicate that Colombia is currently scoring more frequently (2.3) than their season average (1.9), while Ghana's goal production is faltering (0.8), with a season average of 1.5

历史交锋

There are no head-to-head matches between Colombia and Ghana in the dataset

关键球员

For Colombia, Luis Díaz (attacker) stands out with 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games, Jhon Arias (attacker) scored 2 goals in the last 5 games, and James Rodríguez (midfielder) provided 2 assists in the last 5 games. For Ghana, Caleb Yirenkyi (midfielder) has 2 goals in the last 5 games, Derrick Luckassen (defender) has 1 goal in the last 5 games, and Antoine Semenyo (attacker) scored 1 goal in the last 5 games

门将

Colombia's goalkeeper Camilo Vargas made 3 season appearances and contributed to 7 clean sheets. Ghana's goalkeeper Lawrence Ati Zigi played in 1 season appearance and contributed to 6 clean sheets

影响因素

Arrowhead Stadium is known for matches averaging 3.25 goals. In half of the games, both teams scored, and three-quarters of the games had over 2.5 goals. Colombia shows a strong defense at home with an average of 0.7 goals conceded and an effective offense with 1.6 goals per home game. Ghana displays a solid defense away from home with an average of 0.6 goals conceded, while their offense is also convincing with 2.2 goals per away game. The grass surface is a standard factor

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