World Cup

United States - Bosnia and Herzegovina

07/02/2026, 12:00 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
United States
2.3
Total xG
3.1
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

2:1

9%

1:1

9%

3:0

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
USBAH

United States

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.97
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.18
排名优势 (第16位 vs 第73位, 相差57位)
+0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
+0.13
全员可用

Bosnia and Herzegovina

排名劣势 (第73位 vs 第16位, 相差57位)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.10
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.02
28%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.60
+0.60
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

70%

平局

20%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

30%

非平局

80%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • High win probability for the USA: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 70%
  • Strong home offense for the USA: The USA scores an average of 3.0 home goals per game and the model predicts 2.28 expected home goals
  • Form and league position: The USA (1st place) shows better form (WLWWL) than Bosnia and Herzegovina (3rd place, DDDLW)
风险因素
  • Limited offensive strength of Bosnia and Herzegovina: According to the description, only 71% of the usual starting XI's strength for goal production is available
  • Low shot-on-target efficiency of Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina recorded an average of only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

United States (1st place, 6 points) host Bosnia and Herzegovina (3rd place, 4 points) at Levi's Stadium. This World Cup match takes place on July 2, 2026, 2:00 AM. The USA aims for group victory, while Bosnia and Herzegovina needs crucial points to advance

近期状态

The USA showed a form of WLWWL in their last five matches, corresponding to 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last match ended in a loss. Bosnia and Herzegovina has a form of DDDLW in their last five matches, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Their last match was a win. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

The USA scored an average of 2.67 goals per game this season and conceded 1.33 goals. At home, their average is 3.0 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 3 matches. United States is currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than their season average (2.1). Bosnia and Herzegovina scored an average of 1.9 goals per game and conceded 0.9 goals. Away, their average is 1.83 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded. They kept 3 clean sheets, while over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 of 10 matches. Bosnia and Herzegovina's goal production is stagnant (1.5), season average is 1.8

历史交锋

No head-to-head matches between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina are available in the provided dataset for this encounter

关键球员

For the USA, Folarin Balogun with 2 season goals, Alex Freeman with 1 season goal and 1 assist, and Christian Pulisic with 1 season assist (1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games) are important players. For Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kerim Alajbegovic with 1 season goal, Sead Kolasinac with 1 season assist, and Edin Džeko are to be noted

门将

Matt Freese is in goal for the USA. The USA has achieved a total of 1 clean sheet. Nikola Vasilj is listed as goalkeeper for Bosnia and Herzegovina. Bosnia and Herzegovina has achieved 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at Levi's Stadium. The stadium has an average of 2.0 goals per game in the 5 previous matches. In 3 of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored

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