World Cup
Portugal - Croatia
07/02/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
11%2:1
8%0:1
8%xG 分解
Portugal
Croatia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
31%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Prediction Advantage: The mathematical analysis gives Portugal a 40% win probability and 71% for a home win or draw
- Offense vs. Defense: Portugal's high scoring rate (3.33 goals/game) meets Croatia's strong defense (0.5 goals conceded/game)
- Recent Form: Portugal is unbeaten in 5 games, while Croatia recorded 2 losses in their last 5 matches
风险因素
- Head-to-Head: Croatia won the only direct encounter with a score of 2-1
- Venue Trend: BMO Field shows a tendency for fewer goals with an average of 2.4 total goals and only 40% of games exceeding 2.5 goals
- Form Trend: Portugal's recent goal production (2.3 goals) is below their season average (2.6 goals), similar to Croatia (1.4 goals compared to 2.6 goals)
概述
Portugal (2nd place, 5 points) faces Croatia (2nd place, 6 points) in the World Cup Round of 16 at BMO Field. This crucial knockout match takes place on July 2, 2026, 11:00 PM. Both teams finished second in their groups and are battling for a spot in the quarter-finals.
近期状态
Portugal is unbeaten in their last five matches (WWDWD)
They recorded 3 wins and 2 draws during this period
The last appearance was a draw
Croatia's form in their last five games is LWLWW
This means 3 wins and 2 losses
The last match was a win
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Portugal averaged 3.33 goals scored per game and conceded 1.17 goals this season
Croatia scored an average of 3.25 goals per game and conceded only 0.5 goals
Portugal kept 2 clean sheets, Croatia 5 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 3 of Portugal's games and 3 of Croatia's games
BMO Field recorded an average of 2.4 total goals per game
In 2 out of 5 games at BMO Field, both teams scored
2 out of 5 games at BMO Field ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between Portugal and Croatia so far
Croatia won this game 2-1
The last encounter took place on June 8, 2024
关键球员
Cristiano Ronaldo is an important offensive player with 2 goals and 0 assists in 3 season appearances
Bruno Fernandes has 0 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.62
Diogo Costa, the goalkeeper, has a season average rating of 7.72
For Croatia, Martin Baturina scored 1 goal in 3 season appearances with a rating of 7.26
Luka Modrić contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.13
Dominik Livakovic is the goalkeeper with an average rating of 6.9
门将
Diogo Costa of Portugal has a season average rating of 7.72 and 2 clean sheets
Dominik Livakovic of Croatia has a season average rating of 6.9 and 5 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on a natural grass surface at BMO Field
Portugal's home stats show an average of 3.0 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded
Croatia's away stats show an average of 3.67 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded
BMO Field has an average of 2.4 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of matches