World Cup

Spain - Austria

07/02/2026, 07:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Spain
1.6
Total xG
2.4
Austria
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

1:1

13%

2:0

13%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
SPAAUS

Spain

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.67
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第22位, 相差21位)
+0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.05
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.41倍)
+0.01

Austria

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.41
排名劣势 (第22位 vs 第1位, 相差21位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Marko Arnautovic替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

27%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

73%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Spain with a 57% probability
  • Offensive Strength: Spain has averaged 3.50 goals per game this season and conceded only 0.33 goals
  • Artificial Turf Advantage: Spain has a strong record (2W-1D-0L) on artificial turf, while Austria is weaker (0W-0D-1L)
风险因素
  • Austria had a short recovery period of only 4 days since their last match
  • Spain's recent goal production has slowed (2.3) compared to their season average (3.0)
  • Austria's recent goal production has slowed (1.6) compared to their season average (2.5)
概述

Spain (1st place, 7 points) faces Austria (2nd place, 4 points) in the World Cup Round of 16. The match takes place on July 2, 2026, 9:00 PM CEST, at SoFi Stadium. Spain enters as group winners, while Austria advanced as runners-up.

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Spain is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, showing a form of DWDWW

The team recorded 3 wins and 2 draws

Their last victory was a 1-0 against Uruguay

Austria has a form of WWWLD

This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last match ended in a 3-3 draw against Algeria

统计数据

Spain has scored an average of 3.50 goals per game and conceded 0.33 goals this season

The team achieved 5 clean sheets and had both teams score in 1 match

Austria has scored an average of 2.75 goals per game and conceded 0.50 goals

The team kept 4 clean sheets and had both teams score in 3 matches

At SoFi Stadium, an average of 3.0 goals per game have been scored

Both teams scored in 60% of matches at SoFi Stadium, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not list any head-to-head matches between Spain and Austria

关键球员

For Spain, Mikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal, and Dani Olmo are key players

Mikel Oyarzabal has 2 goals and 1 assist this season, with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Lamine Yamal recorded 1 goal and 0 assists this season, with 3 goals in the last 5 games and rising form

Dani Olmo provided 1 assist this season and 2 assists in the last 5 games

For Austria, Marcel Sabitzer, Romano Schmid, and David Alaba are noteworthy

Marcel Sabitzer scored 1 goal this season and 2 goals in the last 5 games

Romano Schmid contributed 1 goal this season and 1 goal in the last 5 games

David Alaba recorded 1 assist this season and also 1 assist in the last 5 games

门将

Unai Simón is Spain's goalkeeper and achieved 5 clean sheets this season

Alexander Schlager guards Austria's goal and recorded 4 clean sheets with rising form

影响因素

The match will be played at SoFi Stadium on artificial turf

At SoFi Stadium, an average of 3.0 goals per game were scored, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches

Spain has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses (5:0 goals) on artificial turf

Austria, however, recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss (0:2 goals) on artificial turf

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