World Cup
Brazil - Japan
06/29/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.2
0.9
1:1
15%1:0
13%0:0
13%2:0
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Brazil
Japan
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
32%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Brazil is missing a significant portion of their goal production (only 29% available)
- Japan's extremely strong defense, conceding an average of 0.19 goals per game, is a key to their success
- Brazil shows a strong offense with an average of 7.6 shots on target, while Japan only manages 4.0 on average
风险因素
- Both teams have a negative record on artificial turf (Brazil 0W-1D-2L, Japan 0W-2D-0L)
- Japan's current goal production of 1.8 goals per game is below their season average of 2.1 goals
概述
Brazil (1st place, 7 points) faces Japan (2nd place, 5 points) at NRG Stadium
World Cup Round of 16 match on June 29, 2026, 5:00 PM
Brazil qualified as group winners, Japan as group runners-up
This match determines who advances to the quarter-finals of the tournament
近期状态
Brazil is in strong form with WWDWW
In the last 5 matches, they achieved 4 wins and 1 draw, without any losses
They have won their last two games
Japan's form is WWDWD
In the last 5 matches, they achieved 3 wins and 2 draws, without any losses
Japan recently drew 1-1, following a 4-0 victory
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Brazil averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 0.94 goals
Japan shows a very strong offense with an average of 3.38 goals per game and an extremely stable defense conceding 0.19 goals per game
In home games, Brazil scores 1.29 goals and concedes only 0.36 goals
Japan concedes only 0.25 goals per away game
Brazil is currently scoring more frequently (3.0) than their season average (1.8)
Japan's goal production is faltering (1.8), while the season average is 2.1
NRG Stadium sees an average of 4.2 goals per game
In 3 of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored
历史交锋
There have been a total of 2 head-to-head matches between Brazil and Japan
Both teams have secured 1 win each, with no draws
The goal difference is 6:4 in favor of Brazil
The last encounter on October 14, 2025, ended 2:3 for Brazil
The recent head-to-head record is even
关键球员
For Brazil, Vinicius Junior with 4 season goals and 1 assist, Matheus Cunha with 3 season goals, and Bruno Guimarães with 3 assists are important players
Vinicius Junior shows a declining form trend over the last 5 games (FormTrend -0.21)
Matheus Cunha also has a declining form (FormTrend -0.50)
For Japan, Ayase Ueda with 2 goals and 1 assist, Daichi Kamada with 2 goals, and Keito Nakamura with 1 goal and 1 assist are key players
Ayase Ueda (FormTrend -0.64), Daichi Kamada (FormTrend -0.31), and Keito Nakamura (FormTrend -0.21) all show a declining form trend
门将
Alisson is the goalkeeper for Brazil, who achieved 6 clean sheets this season
For Japan, Zion Suzuki is in goal; his team recorded an impressive 13 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf
Brazil has a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses (2:4 goals) on artificial turf
Japan has a record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses (3:3 goals) on artificial turf
NRG Stadium records an average of 4.2 goals per game