World Cup

Belgium - Senegal

07/01/2026, 08:00 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Belgium
1.4
Total xG
2.4
Senegal
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
BELSEN

Belgium

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.55
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.23
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍)
-0.14
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第18位, 相差10位)
+0.07

Senegal

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.43
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.11
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第8位, 相差10位)
-0.11
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

30%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

70%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Senegal's goal production is significantly limited with only 36% of seasonal output available
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a win for Belgium with a probability of 46%
  • Belgium's form with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 games is stronger than Senegal's (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
风险因素
  • Belgium's goal production has stalled recently according to analysis (seasonal average 3.7, currently 3.3)
  • No data on previous head-to-head encounters is available, which complicates the analysis
概述

Belgium host Senegal at Lumen Field

World Cup match on July 1, 2026, 8:00 PM

Belgium finished 1st in their group with 5 points

Senegal finished 3rd in their group with 3 points

近期状态

Belgium is in good form with 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 matches (Form: WWDDW)

Belgium won their last match 5-1 against New Zealand

Senegal has achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches (Form: LDLLW)

Senegal recently won 5-0 against Iraq

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Belgium averaged 3.63 goals per game this season and conceded 0.88 goals

Senegal impresses with an average of 2.20 goals scored and only 0.30 goals conceded per game

At Lumen Field, an average of 2.4 goals per game have been scored

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches at this stadium

Over 1.5 goals occurred in all 5 matches at Lumen Field

历史交锋

There are no previous head-to-head encounters between Belgium and Senegal in the provided dataset

关键球员

Belgium: Leandro Trossard (3 goals, 1 assist in 5 games, Avg. 7.52 Rating), Kevin De Bruyne (2 goals in 5 games, Avg. 7.73 Rating), Youri Tielemans (1 goal, 1 assist in 5 games, Avg. 7.62 Rating)

Senegal: Ismaïla Sarr (3 goals, 1 assist in 5 games, Avg. 7.16 Rating), Pape Gueye (2 goals, 1 assist in 4 games, Avg. 7.22 Rating), Iliman Ndiaye (1 goal, 2 assists in 4 games, Avg. 7.06 Rating)

门将

Thibaut Courtois (Belgium) has achieved 4 clean sheets this season

Mory Diaw (Senegal) boasts an impressive record of 8 clean sheets this season

Courtois shows stable form, while Diaw's form is declining

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Belgium has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses (12:5 goals) on artificial turf

Senegal has a poorer record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses (6:9 goals) on artificial turf

Lumen Field has averaged 2.4 goals per game

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